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According to CME's "Federal Reserve Watch", the probability of the Fed keeping current interest rates unchanged until December is 40.9%, and the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate cut is 59.1%. The probability of maintaining the current interest rate unchanged until January next year is 30.4%, the probability of reducing interest rates by 25 basis points cumulatively is 54.5%, and the probability of reducing interest rates by 50 basis points cumulatively is 15.2%.