Futures market bets that the Federal Reserve will not cut interest rates in the short term

2025-05-12 13:26

Odaily Planet Daily News: From the perspective of federal funds rate futures, concerns about the economy have significantly decreased compared to Trump's "Liberation Day". A month ago, the bets in the futures market reflected that there was only a one-fifth chance that the Federal Reserve would maintain interest rate stability in the first half of this year. Traders believed that trade policy chaos would weaken the economy, forcing the Federal Reserve to respond with loose policies. Now, the futures market believes that the probability of not cutting interest rates before the end of June is about 90%. (Golden Ten)

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