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Good evening,everyone! I am your Da Bin teacher!
The market situation these past few days has been agonizing, and my understanding of geopolitical conflicts is still much worse. It is difficult to predict the future trend of the conflict, and we can only rely on oil prices to predict the current situation. What I am preparing to explore next is not only geopolitical conflicts, but also the dot matrix chart on Thursday and the Federal Reserve's interest rate meeting. Let's start with the issue of geopolitical conflict. At present, it seems that the United States is ready to intervene, even Trump's "mouth" intervention is a good thing. In addition, the biggest impact of the geopolitical conflict in the Middle East on American stocks and BTC is that the rise of oil prices may lead to repeated inflation in the United States. In fact, Nick's tweet today has already explained a lot of problems. If it was not for Trump's tariff policy, it is likely that the Federal Reserve has cut interest rates in June, which may also indicate that Powell will have more dovish comments this time. Of course, if he still talks about dovish, he will do hawkish things. I think it is a very big probability. After all, the macro data that has been published is still good, and inflation has begun to reduce without the impact of tariff parity.
In addition, the impact on BTC prices comes from multiple factors, including JPMorgan Chase's issuance of a "deposit certificate" for institutional users on the BASE chain. In a sense, this deposit certificate is a stablecoin and represents a crucial step for traditional banks in the RWA field. So even though oil prices have risen and the US stock market continues to fall, it has indeed boosted investors' sentiment towards the cryptocurrency sector.
Looking back at the data of BTC, the price fluctuations have not caused panic among investors, and the turnover rate has not only not increased but is also decreasing. More investors are not worried about the short-term trend of BTC prices, and only short-term investors who have bought in the past two days have strong expectations of leaving. More investors may still want to attend Thursday's interest rate meeting or believe that the impact of geopolitical conflicts will not be significant, at least not for a long time. In addition, based on the supporting data, the range of $93000 to $98000 is currently the most stable, and investors in this area are changing hands less and less. The stock of $100500 to $105000 is also gradually increasing. Currently, there are over 1.07 million BTC accumulated near $105000. Although it is not yet a large amount, this position continues to accumulate because it is still dominated by short-term investors, so it is not stable.
Operation suggestion:
BTC 104000 long first target to see 105500 second target to see 106750
ETH 2500 long, first target at 2580, second target at 2650
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Disclaimer: The above content only represents the author's personal opinion and is for communication and sharing purposes only. It does not represent the position or viewpoint of AiCoin and does not constitute any investment advice. Based on this investment, there may be external contacts, which have nothing to do with AiCoin, and the consequences shall be borne by oneself.
