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According to a report by Golden Ten, Goldman Sachs significantly raised its expectations for US tariffs in 2025 in a research report early this morning, and warned that the escalation of trade tensions may seriously affect economic growth, inflation, and employment. The bank currently expects the average tariff rate in the United States to increase by 15 percentage points by 2025, higher than the previous baseline of 10 percentage points. The main reason for the upward adjustment is that it is expected that the comprehensive "equivalent tariffs" announced by Trump on April 2 will impose an average of 15% tariffs on all US trading partners, and the average actual impact of tariffs is expected to increase by 9 percentage points. Goldman Sachs has raised its core PCE inflation forecast for the United States by 0.5 percentage points to 3.5% by the end of 2025, citing the impact of rising import costs on inflation. It is expected that the GDP growth rate in the fourth quarter will slow down to 1.0%, a decrease of 0.5 percentage points from previous expectations, and the unemployment rate is expected to climb to 4.5% by the end of the year. Goldman Sachs has raised the probability of an economic recession in the United States within 12 months to 35%, citing weak consumer and business sentiment, and indications that policymakers may be more willing to accept recent economic pain in pursuit of broader policy goals. Due to the slowdown in actual income growth, the economy may be entering a more fragile phase, with emotional and policy risks exerting a greater drag on the economy than in recent years. In addition, Goldman Sachs stated that it now expects the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates in July, September, and November.
OKX-BTC/USDT is currently trading at $82076.00, with a 24-hour decline of 0.54%. Please pay attention to market fluctuations.
According to the statistics of major large orders in the past 12 hours, BTC's main buyers have completed transactions of 86.42 million US dollars, far exceeding the sales of 48.76 million US dollars. The net inflow is as high as 37.66 million US dollars, with a buy to sell ratio of 1.77:1, indicating a clear willingness to go long. Among them, there were multiple large buy orders in the price range of $83000 to $83300, with the largest single transaction reaching $8.36 million. This indicates that the main funds are actively attracting funds or accumulating momentum for short-term rebound. The current 2-hour cycle K-line shows that although the price is below the EMA24 and EMA52 moving averages, the RSI double bottom pattern resonates with the bottom part pattern, releasing a bullish signal. Combined with the inflow of major orders, the probability of rebound further increases. Unlock the tracking of major orders, real-time grasp of major trends, and accurately capture market turning points! The data is sourced from the PRO member's [BTC/USDT Binance USDT perpetual 2-hour] candlestick, for reference only, and does not constitute any investment advice.
HTX-BTC perpetual contract is now reported at $82454.2. According to market contract position analysis, the main force lacks confidence in the future market, and the price may decline. Please hold positions reasonably and control risks
The price of Ouyi OKX OP/USDT has hit a new low in nearly a year, now trading at 0.7406 US dollars, a decrease of 2.53% in 24 hours, with a turnover of 4.63 million US dollars. After the price reaches a new low, there is a high probability of a price rebound. (AiCoin Research Institute)