Click on the link to enter Tencent Meeting: https://meeting.tencent.com/p/5658778060 Daily level: 1. The market trend of the moving average, with continuous fluctuations, has ended the trend of V retracement, showing the characteristics of three heads. However, if we want to be bearish, we need to break the level again; After entering the convergence mode, there is a stage of bottoming out the warehouse; 2. Within Boll's trend, it is currently maintaining a sideways trend, but the price is above the mid track, which is not the best position for short selling. If it continues to be sideways next week, Boll's upper and lower tracks will shrink, indicating a continued trend of extreme market conditions; 3. Within the range of quantity and energy, the phenomenon of VR's three clear distributions yesterday is not yet valid due to the fact that the coin price has not yet fallen below the moving average. We need to wait for the coin price to fall; As V returns, OBV can follow up and enter the previous range of volume fluctuations again. At this time, the moving average is flat, indicating that there will be another market trend this week; 4. In the trend of potential energy, RSI and MFI continue to remain in a sideways position without any movement, but this sideways range is below CCI 100, so it may not be possible to break through with a third surge; 5. Within a balanced trend, the clouds at the end have already emerged, indicating that the short-term trend is downward and at least requires a correction; Secondly, if we want to go bearish, we need a slight bearish trend next week to allow the coin price to enter the clouds, so that we can break the level all at once around July 9th; Finally, according to the late moving band, if there is a bearish trend next week, the first interval to be touched is around 102000; In summary, the daily market trend will choose a small range direction this week. If we are bearish, we need the currency price to fall below the moving average, establish a triple head, and adopt a convergence pattern. A sharp decline is brewing in mid July; QQ group number: 701829134 Aicoin group: https://aicoin.com/link/chat?cid=2ARLLeaoM Disclaimer: The above content only represents the author's personal opinion and is for communication and sharing purposes only. It does not represent the position or viewpoint of AiCoin and does not constitute any investment advice. Based on this investment, there may be external contacts, which have nothing to do with AiCoin, and the consequences shall be borne by oneself.
Odaily Planet Daily News: The market's expectations for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates are increasingly high, but Morgan Stanley's London strategy team has poured a bucket of cold water. The bank warned that the real reason behind the interest rate cut may not be favorable for the stock market, and may even become a "wrong type of easing", which could trigger a chain reaction in the market. Morgan Stanley strategists predict that the future will be a combination of the first and third scenarios - where economic activity slows down but inflation rebounds. They pointed out that since 1980, the US dollar has typically weakened before interest rate cuts and continued to decline after them. The bond yield also decreased accordingly. Morgan Stanley's strategists say they expect the US dollar to hit a new low in most cases, and US bond yields will continue to decline. (Golden Ten)
Odaily Planet Daily News: JPMorgan analysts have started to pay attention to Circle (CRCL) stocks, giving them a write down rating and setting a target price of $80 for December 2026. Analyst Kenneth Worthington pointed out that the forecast target is a 55% drop from the current CRCL stock price of $180, based on an expected 45 times earnings per share (EPS) for 2027 plus a potential premium of $10. Given Circle's first mover advantage and numerous use cases, it holds a favorable position in the emerging stablecoin market, but its current market value is already too high. If the target price for December 2026 is $80, this means a market value of approximately $21 billion. (Cointelegraph)
BlockBeats News: On June 30th, Mike Wilson, Chief Equity Strategist at Morgan Stanley, pointed out that the stock market's rise since April has mainly been driven by fundamentals. Despite the possibility of consolidation in the short term, he remains optimistic about the trend for the next 6-12 months as corporate profits improve and market expectations for interest rate cuts rise. The bank believes that three major factors will support the upward trend: Profit improvement: The earnings per share (EPS) correction rate has rebounded from -25% in April to -5%, providing support for further upward movement of the stock index; Expectation of interest rate cuts: The market has begun to digest the loose policy of the Federal Reserve, and Morgan Stanley expects to cut interest rates a total of seven times by 2026; Risk mitigation: The decline in oil prices and easing of policy/geopolitical risks have significantly reduced concerns about economic recession. Wilson said that the current environment is favorable for a general market rise - the market will spread from high-quality large cap stocks to a wider range, and interest rate risk is currently controllable.
Odaily Planet Daily News: Hypurrscan data shows that six minutes ago, the giant whale AguilaTrades liquidated half of its 20 fold short positions and withdrew 1.1 million USDC back to Arbitrarum. Currently, its short position value is $53.92 million, with a liquidation price of $124580.