比特币波动率回落至1.59%
2025-07-01 08:54
比特币波动率回落至 1.59%，近 1 个月呈整体下行趋势。 BlockBeats 注：比特币波动率高通常与投机性交易和散户 FOMO 情绪有关。当波动率回落，可能意味着短期投机者减少，市场进入盘整期或「冷静期」。此外，比特币价格波动常与宏观经济事件挂钩，如通胀预期、利率变化或地缘政治风险。当这些外部因素趋于平稳，比特币的波动率可能随之回落。(BlockBeats)
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比特币波动率回落至 1.59%，近 1 个月呈整体下行趋势。 BlockBeats 注：比特币波动率高通常与投机性交易和散户 FOMO 情绪有关。当波动率回落，可能意味着短期投机者减少，市场进入盘整期或「冷静期」。此外，比特币价格波动常与宏观经济事件挂钩，如通胀预期、利率变化或地缘政治风险。当这些外部因素趋于平稳，比特币的波动率可能随之回落。(BlockBeats)
Click on the link to enter Tencent Meeting: https://meeting.tencent.com/p/7890471408 1、 Bitcoin (BTC) Market Analysis 1. Current trend Price: Trading around $107200, with a volatility of less than 3% for 6 consecutive days, showing a narrow range of high volatility. Key support: $106000 (daily level mid track support), if it falls below, it may trigger a pullback; Resistance level: $108600 (top high area), expected to break through and impact $110000. 2. Breakthrough the driving factors of kinetic energy Risk preference: The US Nasdaq has reached a new high, and funds may rotate to risky assets, including Bitcoin. Inflation expectations: US tariff policies push up prices, and if inflation data exceeds expectations, Bitcoin may be boosted by hedging demand. Institutional action: If Strategy is included in the S&P 500 index, it will attract passive capital inflows. 3. Short term strategy Long short interval: Empty order: 108000-108600 US dollars, target profit of 1500 US dollars; Multiple orders: $106300-$106600, with stop loss set below $106000. 2、 Ethereum (ETH) Market Analysis 1. Technical structure and market sentiment Price: Currently priced at $2475, forming a "V-shaped reversal" after testing the support of $2438 within 24 hours. Key intervals: Support: $2400-2430 (supported by daily MA7 and Fibonacci); Resistance: $2500 (psychological threshold), with a target of $2750-2900 after breaking through. Probability prediction: Polymarket data shows that there is a 35% probability that ETH will break through $2500 in the next 24 hours, and a 44% probability that it will maintain a fluctuation range of 2400-2500. 2. ETH/BTC exchange rate breakthrough is imminent Key level: 0.02325 (ETH/BTC), if breached, it may trigger the altcoin season and drive ETH to independently strengthen. On chain fundamentals: Nearly 30% of ETH is in a pledged state, with long-term supply tightening; The inflow of funds from spot ETFs supports bullish sentiment. 3. Short term strategy Boundary between long and short: Empty order: $2490-2510, target profit of $80-100; Multiple orders: $2400-2420, with stop loss set below $2380. In this rebound led by Bitcoin, we have witnessed the power of technical analysis and the infinite possibilities of the market. Let's remain calm and continue to follow, because the story of Bitcoin continues. Welcome to the live broadcast room for communication, and at the same time, share practical knowledge and secret tactics! What will the market do next? Professor Pang Tong, who has ten years of theoretical and practical trading experience in the cryptocurrency industry, will provide a detailed breakdown for everyone. Welcome to the live broadcast room to check in! Join the Three Kingdoms College Exchange Group to receive more services: 1. Real time troubleshooting (online one-on-one question answering and sorting) 2. Professional technical analysis and theoretical learning 3. Construction and improvement of trading system 4. Live streaming courses every day, contract termination, real-time order making to help you successfully land Official QQ group: 579358784 Tencent Meeting ID: 789-047-1408 The live broadcast room will be broken down in detail. Disclaimer: The above content only represents the author's personal opinion and is for communication and sharing purposes only. It does not represent the position or viewpoint of AiCoin and does not constitute any investment advice. Based on this investment, there may be external contacts, which have nothing to do with AiCoin, and the consequences shall be borne by oneself.
According to on chain analyst Yu Jin's monitoring, the short position of "Insider Whale" @ qwatio was 250 million US dollars a few days ago, and yesterday morning it was liquidated and forced to close 50 million US dollars of short positions. After the correction this afternoon, he opened the cleared $50 million short order again an hour ago. So his current position situation is: 40x empty 1400 BTC, worth $149 million, opening price $106706, clearing price $109863; 25x empty 40000 ETH, valued at 97.57 million US dollars, with an opening price of 2453 US dollars and a clearing price of 2562 US dollars.
Odaily Planet Daily News: Securitize, a tokenized asset issuer, and RedStone, a oracle provider, have released a white paper aimed at introducing a new model for securely verifying on chain net asset value (NAV) data, specifically for tokenized private equity funds. This model, known as Trusted Single Source Prophet (TSSO), deliberately addresses a key gap in decentralized finance (DeFi) infrastructure: how to reliably prove that each asset net worth update does indeed come from a trusted source and will not be tampered with once it is on the blockchain. （CoinDesk）
Odaily Planet Daily News: Financial giant Citigroup stated that Circle's valuation is reasonable and has given it a buy rating for the first time. Citigroup has set its target price for Circle's stock at $243, up about 34% from last night's closing price of slightly above $181. The Citigroup report states that Circle benefits from "scarce value, winner takes all philosophy, enormous potential opportunities, legislative momentum," and "enormous operational leverage potential.
Odaily Planet Daily News: Bybit has announced the official launch of its new platform, Bybit EU, targeting users in the European Economic Area (EEA). The platform is operated by Bybit EU GmbH, headquartered in Vienna, Austria, and has been fully licensed under the framework of the Crypto Asset Market Regulation (MiCAR), covering 29 EEA countries.