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1、 Bitcoin (BTC) Market Analysis
1. Current trend
Price: Trading around $107200, with a volatility of less than 3% for 6 consecutive days, showing a narrow range of high volatility.
Key support: $106000 (daily level mid track support), if it falls below, it may trigger a pullback; Resistance level: $108600 (top high area), expected to break through and impact $110000.
2. Breakthrough the driving factors of kinetic energy
Risk preference: The US Nasdaq has reached a new high, and funds may rotate to risky assets, including Bitcoin.
Inflation expectations: US tariff policies push up prices, and if inflation data exceeds expectations, Bitcoin may be boosted by hedging demand.
Institutional action: If Strategy is included in the S&P 500 index, it will attract passive capital inflows.
3. Short term strategy
Long short interval:
Empty order: 108000-108600 US dollars, target profit of 1500 US dollars;
Multiple orders: $106300-$106600, with stop loss set below $106000.
2、 Ethereum (ETH) Market Analysis
1. Technical structure and market sentiment
Price: Currently priced at $2475, forming a "V-shaped reversal" after testing the support of $2438 within 24 hours.
Key intervals:
Support: $2400-2430 (supported by daily MA7 and Fibonacci);
Resistance: $2500 (psychological threshold), with a target of $2750-2900 after breaking through.
Probability prediction: Polymarket data shows that there is a 35% probability that ETH will break through $2500 in the next 24 hours, and a 44% probability that it will maintain a fluctuation range of 2400-2500.
2. ETH/BTC exchange rate breakthrough is imminent
Key level: 0.02325 (ETH/BTC), if breached, it may trigger the altcoin season and drive ETH to independently strengthen.
On chain fundamentals: Nearly 30% of ETH is in a pledged state, with long-term supply tightening; The inflow of funds from spot ETFs supports bullish sentiment.
3. Short term strategy
Boundary between long and short:
Empty order: $2490-2510, target profit of $80-100;
Multiple orders: $2400-2420, with stop loss set below $2380.
In this rebound led by Bitcoin, we have witnessed the power of technical analysis and the infinite possibilities of the market. Let's remain calm and continue to follow, because the story of Bitcoin continues. Welcome to the live broadcast room for communication, and at the same time, share practical knowledge and secret tactics!
What will the market do next? Professor Pang Tong, who has ten years of theoretical and practical trading experience in the cryptocurrency industry, will provide a detailed breakdown for everyone. Welcome to the live broadcast room to check in!
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Disclaimer: The above content only represents the author's personal opinion and is for communication and sharing purposes only. It does not represent the position or viewpoint of AiCoin and does not constitute any investment advice. Based on this investment, there may be external contacts, which have nothing to do with AiCoin, and the consequences shall be borne by oneself.
