Click on the link to enter the meeting: https://meeting.tencent.com/p/6321551049
1. The current news mainly focuses on selling and capital outflow, which has an amplifying effect in the cryptocurrency market. As a benchmark asset, BTC's bear market signals often drag down altcoins such as ETH, leading to a chain reaction. The outflow of ETFs (especially the $1.4 billion scale of ETH) indicates a lack of institutional confidence, which may trigger panic selling among retail investors and further drive up volatility. Option expiration is a short-term catalyst that can exacerbate price volatility, but without a positive turning point (such as favorable policies), it may continue to decline.
2. In the near future, we will be cautious and defensive in our single position. We will be bearish in the short term (affected by news and the downward trend of the K-line) and wait for confirmation of the rebound signal at the support level before going long. Risk management priority: strict stop loss, with positions not exceeding 5-10% of total funds. This is not investment advice, it is just a sharing of ideas. The market fluctuates greatly, combined with one's own risk tolerance.
3. Short term bearish strategy (high probability, combined with current selling pressure): Entry: BTC confirms bearish pressure below 100k (if rebound fails); ETH is empty below 3200.
Target: BTC aiming at 92k/90k; ETH aims at 3k/2.8k.
Stop loss: BTC above 100k; ETH above 3200. Reason: There is no turning point in the news, and the downward channel of the K-line is complete.
Mid line bullish strategy (low probability, reversal waiting):
Entry: BTC stabilizes at 92k support level (RSI rebounds>40); ETH has a bullish or bearish signal around 3k.
Goal: BTC rebounds to 105k; ETH reaches 3500. Build positions in batches, combined with positive news such as Saylor buying.
Stop loss: BTC fell below 90k; ETH fell below 2.8k. Reason: If the news improves (such as a stock market rebound), the support level can become a bottom.
Disclaimer: The above content only represents the author's personal opinion and is intended to assist investors in understanding information related to the capital market. It does not constitute any investment advice and does not represent the position or viewpoint of AiCoin. The market is risky and investments should be made with caution.