Click on the link to enter the meeting: https://meeting.tencent.com/p/6321551049 Today, the cryptocurrency market rebounded strongly, with a total market value of approximately $3.24 trillion, up 2.63%. Bitcoin (BTC) returned to the $92000 mark, reaching a high of $94000, and the Fear&Greek Index rose to 26-30 (fear). The decision of the FOMC meeting will be announced at 2pm Eastern Time (3am Beijing Time), with a market price of 87% -92% probability of a 25 basis point rate cut (to 3.50% -3.75%), followed closely by Powell's press conference. 1. Macro and regulatory events Countdown to FOMC meeting resolution: The interest rate decision will be announced this afternoon, and the market is highly priced to cut interest rates, but the focus is on the dot matrix and Powell's forward guidance. If there is only one interest rate cut in 2026, risk assets may be under pressure; If more dovish (3-4 times), BTC may test $95000-97000. OCC regulatory loosening: The Office of the Superintendent of the Currency (OCC) in the United States has issued letter 1188 confirming that national banks can engage in "risk-free agency" cryptocurrency trading, including buying/selling/holding BTC, providing custody, and BTC collateralized loans. PNC Bank is the first mainstream bank to offer BTC trading and credit to private clients through Coinbase. 2. Institutional and ETF Trends ETF fund flow: BTC ETF net outflow of $60.4 million (GBTC -44M, FBTC -39.4M, but IBIT+28.8M); ETH ETF net inflow of $35.5 million (ETHA+23.7M). Institutional accumulation: Bitcoin OG added 50 million USDC to long ETH, with a total position of 400 million USD and unrealized profit of 17.72 million USD. Short term (1-3 days): bullish oscillation, FOMC dominant; The FOMC resolution is the core catalyst, and although interest rate cuts have been priced, Powell's hawkish tone may trigger volatility (revised after 6/7 meetings in history). BTC ETF outflows combined with year-end liquidity tightening. Pay attention to the core support level of ETH3250 BTC91400, with a target of weekly EMA50 BTC100K and ETH3.65K Tonight we will talk about the trend and layout of the market, teach indicators, deviate from techniques, follow the live broadcast room, take you through bull and bear markets, welcome to interact. Disclaimer: The above content only represents the author's personal opinion and is intended to assist investors in understanding information related to the capital market. It does not constitute any investment advice and does not represent the position or viewpoint of AiCoin. The market is risky and investments should be made with caution.

[Market Expects Fed to Cut Rates by 25 Basis Points Tonight, Internal Division Reaches Largest in Recent Years] The Federal Reserve is experiencing its largest internal division in years, with Powell facing the task of coordination. The market expects the Fed to cut rates by another 25 basis points tonight, and Powell may avoid signaling further rate cuts in January next year to appease the hawks. Bank of America believes Powell might suggest that another rate cut would require significantly weak employment data or emphasize that the benchmark interest rate is already near a neutral level. Currently, 5 officials support a rate cut, 3 are undecided, and 2 support holding rates steady.

A Solidus Labs investigation details how an invite-only Telegram group used bots, fake narratives and rapid token deployments across Solana and BNB Chain to manipulate markets.

随着投资者在加密货币市场内部进行资金轮动，以太坊 ETF 达到六周以来的最高水平。（Decrypt）

[Japan's Financial Services Agency Plans to Regulate Crypto Assets Under the Financial Instruments and Exchange Act] The Financial Services Agency of Japan has released a report outlining plans to shift the regulatory framework for crypto assets from the Payment Services Act to the Financial Instruments and Exchange Act. The new framework will require enhanced IEO disclosures, with project teams obligated to disclose their identities and token distribution models. Regulatory authorities will intensify efforts to crack down on unregistered platforms and prohibit insider trading. Additionally, the Japanese government is considering standardizing the tax rate on crypto trading profits to 20%. The Financial Services Agency remains cautious about granting licenses for overseas crypto ETF derivatives.