Arthur Hayes：牛市回归，是时候狂欢了

BlockBeats news, on April 26th, Nick Tomaino, founder of 1confirmation, posted on X stating that "most people in the crypto industry only focus on the industry's internal workings, and the circle is very closed. Many people just happen to be in the right place at the right time and make huge wealth, so the desire to replicate past successful models is natural. But that era is over. Now it is necessary to truly understand mainstream culture and the intersection between the crypto industry and it. In today's crypto field, there is much more cognition, capital, and competition, and it is no longer easy to succeed simply by 'going with the flow'. For example, if you want to make on chain games, you must thoroughly understand everything about Web2 games and build on chain games based on this knowledge. Simply copying Axie's approach is far from enough

Bitcoin Magazine CEO David Bailey wrote on X platform, "Over the past 13 years, I have closely observed all mainstream Bitcoin and cryptocurrency investment meta models, and comparing and contrasting their development history is always interesting. Currently, Bitcoin backed securities will have huge potential for growth, and in the future, their scale may be even larger than traditional securities

Click on the link to enter the live stream: https://meeting.tencent.com/p/5551765098 (Note: Tencent Meeting APP needs to be downloaded) This week's market was unexpected, with the 90000 life and death line breaking overnight and then consolidating at a high level. Personally, my short positions were also trapped, and yesterday's high of 95500 was already close. The trading volume deviated from the candlestick line, and I clearly felt that the bulls were weak and had been relying on the positive news ahead. In this situation, I should be cautious about going long and avoid chasing long positions at high levels. The profit margin is not proportional to the risk, and the 90000 life and death line is still a key point. Once it breaks the level, it will continue to bear for half a year. The high level is currently at this level, and the upward pressure is currently around 96000, so there will not be a significant increase. Auntie also expects to suppress at the 1830 position, but overall it is still in a weak state. We will continue to pay attention to the 1830 position, and there will be two more retracements around 1500 in the future. Therefore, it is still recommended to focus on high altitude Operation suggestion: Put Bitcoin 95800 to 500 short. Defend 97000. Target 90000 Ethereum 1830 to 50 enters the air defense 1880. Target 1680 QQ Fan Experience Group: 1018013659 DingTalk Fan Experience Group: 116320006956 Tencent Meeting Live Number: 5551765098 Disclaimer: The above content only represents the author's personal opinion and is for communication and sharing purposes only. It does not represent AICoin's position or viewpoint and does not constitute any investment advice. Based on this investment, there may be external contacts, which have nothing to do with AICoin, and the consequences shall be borne by oneself.

As concerns about the independence of the Federal Reserve and ongoing trade frictions dissipated earlier this week, it can be seen as a positive week. On Friday, the US stock market performed relatively flat, and market participants continued to wait for more information about the tariff war. Looking ahead to next week, although the Federal Reserve has entered a period of silence and the domestic market is about to enter the May Day holiday, there are still many heavy agendas, including but not limited to non farm payroll data, US first quarter GDP data, PCE inflation data, and the Bank of Japan's interest rate decision... The following are the key points that the market will focus on in the new week: Monday 22:30, Dallas Fed Business Activity Index for April in the United States Tuesday 22:00, March JOLTs job vacancies and April Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index in the United States Wednesday 09:30, China's official manufacturing PMI for April Wednesday 09:45, China's April Caixin Manufacturing PMI Wednesday 17:00, Eurozone Q1 GDP Annual Rate Initial Value Wednesday 20:15, ADP employment figures for April in the United States Wednesday 20:30, initial quarterly rates of labor cost index, annualized quarterly rate of real GDP, quarterly rate of actual personal consumption expenditure, and annualized quarterly rate of core PCE price index for the first quarter of the United States Wednesday 22:00, PCE price data for March, monthly rate of personal expenses for March, and monthly rate of signed home sales index for March in the United States At 19:30 on Thursday, the number of layoffs by challenger companies in April in the United States Thursday 21:45, US April S&P Global Manufacturing PMI Final Value Friday 20:30, seasonally adjusted non farm payroll and April unemployment rate in the United States The ADP employment report, also known as the 'small non farm payroll', will be released next Wednesday, along with the latest PCE inflation and consumption data. However, the real focus will be on the non farm payroll report scheduled to be released next Friday, and there is currently intense speculation about when the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates. Non farm employment growth is expected to slow down from 228000 in March to 130000 in April, while the unemployment rate remains unchanged at 4.2%. The average salary in April may increase by 0.3% month on month. For the US dollar, a series of worrying data are almost certainly negative, but for the US stock market, if interest rate cuts are hoped to improve and market sentiment is not overshadowed by recession concerns, the stock market may rise.

BlockBeats News: On April 26th, CryptoQuant analyst Amr Taha stated that over $500 million worth of Bitcoin was transferred out of trading platforms yesterday, indicating that whales are taking Bitcoin out of trading platforms, possibly for long-term holding or off platform purposes such as DeFi or cold wallet storage. This is usually seen as a bullish signal, indicating a reduction in selling pressure. Among them, over 7000 bitcoins have been withdrawn from the Coinbase trading platform. Yesterday, Ethereum worth over $150 million flowed out of the centralized trading platform, which may indicate that funds are accumulating or preparing for staking/DeFi activities. Similar to Bitcoin, this may also reflect the bullish sentiment in the market.