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Today's market situation is not difficult to judge. The entire market is still revolving around geopolitical conflicts. Yesterday, Powell said that the impact of wars in the Middle East on energy prices is short-term, and the general meaning is that it will not have a significant impact on inflation. However, today's rise in oil prices still worries many investors. Today, the highest price of US oil has risen to nearly $76, and Brent is almost $79, indicating that the war may not end temporarily. The United States has not yet made a decision on whether to go down. Trump's latest information is to decide whether to negotiate or make a decision within two weeks. I found that Trump likes the figure of two weeks very much. The last time it was given to Russia was two weeks, but there was no result in the end. This statement should be a last resort pressure on Iran. However, in the early hours of yesterday morning, after Russia bombed Kiev multiple times, Putin publicly stated that he was ready to start peace talks with Ukraine. It is unclear how Ukraine will decide now, giving the impression that Putin wants revenge before anything else. Overall, the main market sentiment is still focused on geopolitical conflicts, but the issue of increasing tariffs will arise in July. Based on the current situation, the probability of further extension of equivalent tariffs is still quite high.
Looking back at BTC's data, due to the US stock market not opening today, liquidity and turnover rates are still very low, just like the weekend. The main turnover is still from investors who have been chasing higher in the past two days, and geopolitical conflicts have not caused panic among earlier investors. Market sentiment is still not wrong.
From the supporting data, the support range of $93000 to $98000 is still very strong, but the chips between $100500 and $105000 continue to accumulate, and the stock in this range will soon exceed the stock in the support zone, especially the stock between $104000 and $105.000 has exceeded 1.2 million BTC. For the time being, it's okay, but if it continues to pile up like this, especially after a single price exceeds one million pieces, investors will be more eager to choose their direction. The risk will increase.
According to indicators, BTC is currently facing strong resistance around 104939, with significantly increased trading volume but slightly insufficient buying momentum, hindering upward momentum. According to the analysis of chip distribution, this location is the area with the highest trading volume density, making it difficult to break through. Technically speaking, although MACD has a golden cross, the momentum of the bar chart has weakened, and the price is still running below EMA52. The K-line shape also confirms the obvious pressure, with two consecutive bullish lines failing to effectively stabilize above 104688.
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Operation suggestion:
BTC 104000 long first target to see 105500 second target to see 106750
ETH 2500 long, first target at 2580, second target at 2650
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Disclaimer: The above content only represents the author's personal opinion and is for communication and sharing purposes only. It does not represent the position or viewpoint of AiCoin and does not constitute any investment advice. Based on this investment, there may be external contacts, which have nothing to do with AiCoin, and the consequences shall be borne by oneself.
