机构：对等关税暂停期结束前，美元或继续承压

Click on the link to enter Tencent Meeting: https://meeting.tencent.com/p/9850662513 Triple Engine: Boosting Fragile Market Confidence The macro cloud is beginning to dissipate, and the Vice Chairman of the Federal Reserve has issued a dovish signal, implying that more data confirmation is needed before deciding on policy direction. Market expectations for a rate cut in July have suddenly risen. Risk assets regain a breathing space. The geopolitical smoke is temporarily extinguished. Middle Eastern parties have reached a preliminary peace agreement, which has led to the return of safe haven funds such as gold and US bonds, and a tentative injection into the cryptocurrency market. A deeper force comes from regulatory ice breaking. The US Senate is advancing the GENIUS stablecoin bill, the EU MiCA framework has been revised, and the global regulatory framework for cryptocurrencies is gradually becoming clearer. The policy has shifted from iron fisted suppression to rule building, injecting certainty into the industry. Texas has embraced Bitcoin through legislation and allocated $10 million to establish a state-level Bitcoin reserve, becoming the first US state government to bet on cryptocurrency with public funds. The institutionalization process is quietly accelerating, and on chain data shows that long-term funds are flowing back into Bitcoin holdings. The surface calmness cannot conceal the deep crisis. Despite the price rebound, the demand for spot goods remains weak, and the willingness of new investors to enter the market is sluggish. $92000 is considered by analysts as a key cost support level on the chain, and once it falls below, it may trigger a chain sell-off towards $81000. The leverage frenzy in the derivatives market is receding. CryptoQuant data shows that the activity of derivative trading has significantly decreased, and some large players (whales) have shown signs of reducing their positions. This suppresses the short-term breakthrough of key resistance for Bitcoin. Volatility remains the sword hanging from the top. On June 25th, Bitcoin's intraday volatility remained at 1.5%, fluctuating between $104800 and $106790. The market is like a startled bird, any policy variables or geopolitical black swan may restart the plummeting valve There is a glimmer of hope in the technical aspect. Bitcoin has broken through the daily downward structure, and if it can maintain the resistance level of $107800, the Fibonacci expansion target will point to the range of $109770 to $114896. Analyst Dan Gambardello even asserts that Bitcoin is still expected to hit $160000, with the worst-case scenario being a pullback to $95000 before accumulating strength to make a comeback. The long-term narrative remains unchanged. The supply contraction effect of halving in 2024 is still being released, and the trend of enterprise allocation of Bitcoin is deepening - MicroStrategy's holdings have a floating profit of over $23 billion, and asset management giants such as BlackRock continue to increase ETFs. Morgan Stanley predicts that enterprise allocation of Bitcoin will become mainstream in the second half of 2025. The war actually verified the extreme value of Bitcoin. Gaza uses Bitcoin mining machines to maintain battlefield communication, while Ukraine raises $127 million in aid through cryptocurrency. When traditional financial infrastructure collapses, encryption technology reveals its tenacious resilience as the "lifeline of wartime finance". CME Bitcoin futures surged to a late closing offensive of $108000, seemingly strong, but the market is still walking on a tightrope. Although institutional funds are flowing back, retail demand is weakening like a ebb tide; The dawn of peace in the Middle East is emerging, and the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut is still undecided. The cost line of $92000 has become a life and death barrier, and breaking below it may trigger a domino like selling wave. At this moment, in front of all the traders' screens, there is only one burning question: is this rebound, which was bought with blood, the beginning of Nirvana or the last fireworks before the end? Operation suggestion: BTC 107300 long. First target: 108300. Second target: 109350 ETH 2470 long first target to see 2530 second target to see 2580 Join the language community communication group to obtain more services 1. Real time troubleshooting (online one-on-one question answering and sorting) 2. Professional technical analysis and theoretical learning 3. Construction and improvement of trading system- 4. Live streaming courses every day, contract termination, real-time order making, to help you successfully land! Every day, there are teachers in the group who provide precise positioning to answer questions and offer free guidance. Tencent Meeting Live: 985-066-2513 DingTalk Group Number: 120320009032 Every day, there are teachers in the group who arrange precise positioning to answer questions and provide free guidance Disclaimer: The above content only represents the author's personal opinion and is for communication and sharing purposes only. It does not represent the position or viewpoint of AiCoin and does not constitute any investment advice. Based on this investment, there may be external contacts, which have nothing to do with AiCoin, and the consequences shall be borne by oneself.

According to Foresight News, Paradigm co-founder Matt Huang posted on X, "Predicting the market reminds me of the feeling of cryptocurrency ten years ago: an emerging asset class is moving towards trillions of dollars in size

OKX-BTC/USDT is currently trading at $106981, with a 5-minute decline of 0.19%. Please be aware of market fluctuations.

Odaily Planet Daily reported that the US economy remained resilient after contracting more than previously expected in the first quarter. Durable goods orders increased by 16.4% in May, with a moderate increase of 236000 people applying for unemployment benefits per week. The first quarter GDP contracted by 0.5%, instead of the previously estimated 0.2%. At a time when the independence of the Federal Reserve is threatened, the US dollar has maintained an overnight downward trajectory. The Wall Street Journal reported that Trump may appoint a successor to Chairman Powell earlier than usual to weaken the current hawkish stance. Marc Chandler of Bannockburn wrote, "Such a direct attempt to influence the Federal Reserve will not be welcomed by investors

Odaily Planet Daily News: Crypto analyst PlanB stated in an article on X platform that Bitcoin's RSI index has reached 70. Traditional investors typically use an RSI range of 30-70, and they may start to worry that BTC is now overvalued; However, the typical RSI range for Bitcoin is 40-90, and currently RSI 70 is slightly above average. RSI stands for Relative Strength Index, used to measure overbought and oversold.