Odaily星球日报讯 上海金融与发展实验室首席专家、主任曾刚发文指出，应充分利用新兴稳定币和数字货币的支付便利性，在可控范围内推动金融服务升级，满足社会成员对高效、安全、低成本支付工具的现实需求，但需高度警惕非银行机构对支付渠道、用户数据和商业机会的垄断可能，切实防范系统性金融风险的累积、信息孤岛的形成以及监管套利现象。曾刚表示，稳定币、加密资产等新型货币工具将持续渗透进现实经济活动，为市场参与主体带来更大便利和选择空间。（财新）
Click on the link to enter Tencent Meeting: https://meeting.tencent.com/p/9850662513 In the past 24 hours, Ethereum (ETH) has staged a thrilling $2600 battle. The price fluctuated violently between a high of $2614 and a low of $2598, ultimately closing up 2.81% with a daily trading volume of $10.432 billion, making it the most active cryptocurrency asset after Bitcoin. Behind this seemingly calm tug of war, the hidden battle between the giant whale and the institution has entered a white hot stage. Long Short Duel: The Life and Death Game of Whales The 'long loop' giant whale is aggressively increasing its holdings: On chain data shows that a mysterious giant whale has been continuously increasing its position since July 6th, buying a total of 5642 ETH at an average price of $2537. Even amidst price fluctuations, its floating profit still reached $326000 and showed no signs of taking profit. ICO veteran Whale quietly sold off: In sharp contrast, a legendary Whale who had held millions of ETH since the Ethereum ICO suddenly sold 1000 ETH (worth 2.61 million US dollars). Although still holding 23600 pieces (approximately $61.56 million), this move is interpreted as a warning of short-term risks. Exchange liquidity fluctuations: When ETH fell below $2600, the exchange depth plummeted by 42% within 15 minutes, and the giant whale limit order attracted funds like a black hole. At the same time, BitMEX closed a $50 million short order, suspected to be the director of a "long short double kill". Technology faces a boundary point: Triangular convergence brewing a huge change Symmetric triangle end squeeze: The ETH weekly line has shrunk to the top of the macro symmetric triangle since 2022, and the daily line is trapped in a narrow channel of $2500-2560. Analysts warn: 'When the Bollinger Bands narrow to 0.8%, there is a 92% chance of a 10% or more market crash.'. Key position life and death line: The current resistance is concentrated in the range of $2600-2650. If the volume breaks through, it will open a channel to $2745; On the contrary, if the support of $2550 is lost, it may trigger a surge of 440000 ETH in on chain calculations, leading to a selling pressure of $640 million. Sell out alert: In the past 24 hours, contracts across the network have experienced a sell out of $109 million, with 73% ($79.96 million) of them being short positions and ETH contributing $34.8 million in sell out amount, making it the main battlefield for both long and short positions. The Four Cornerstones of Long Term Trends: $4000 is Not a Fantasy Continuous infusion of ETF funds: Spot Ethereum ETFs led by institutions such as BlackRock have seen net inflows for eight consecutive weeks, earning $226.4 million last week alone. The average weekly inflow for 11 weeks accounted for 1.6% of managed assets, far exceeding Bitcoin's 0.8%. Supply has tightened to historical highs: the proportion of ETH balance on the exchange has dropped to 13.5%, the lowest since July 2016. However, the holdings of the giant whale increased from 18.1 million to 18.8 million within five weeks, creating a "supply vacuum" by locking in liquidity. The hidden mystery behind the SOPR indicator: ETH has achieved a stable profit and loss ratio (SOPR) of 1.01, indicating that investors refuse to sell at a loss. History has shown that when the indicator continues to rise above 1 during an upward cycle, it often indicates a larger increase. The prototype of V-shaped reversal is emerging: the weekly level V-shaped structure neck line is at $4100. If it breaks through the strong pressure zone of $2800, the technical target will directly point to $3500-4000, with a potential increase of 92% compared to the current price. The choice in the eyes of the storm When macroeconomic variables such as Trump's tariff policy disrupting the global market and the one month countdown to Hong Kong's stablecoin license are added together, every order placed by Giant Whale becomes a pivot to leverage the market. In the short term, $2600 remains a battleground for both long and short positions; In the long run, fundamental positive factors such as the inflow of ETF funds and the shortened pledge unlocking cycle to 6 days and 10 days are quietly paving the way for a new high. The market always oscillates between fear and greed, and the truth is often hidden in the binary code of data on the chain. Operation suggestion: BTC: Long at 108000, first target at 108900, second target at 109550; ETH: 2560 long. First target: 2600. Second target: 2650 Join the language community communication group to obtain more services 1. Real time troubleshooting (online one-on-one question answering and sorting) 2. Professional technical analysis and theoretical learning 3. Construction and improvement of trading system- 4. Live streaming courses every day, contract termination, real-time order making, to help you successfully land! Every day, there are teachers in the group who provide precise positioning to answer questions and offer free guidance. Tencent Meeting Live: 985-066-2513 DingTalk Group Number: 120320009032 Every day, there are teachers in the group who arrange precise positioning to answer questions and provide free guidance Disclaimer: The above content only represents the author's personal opinion and is for communication and sharing purposes only. It does not represent the position or viewpoint of AiCoin and does not constitute any investment advice. Based on this investment, there may be external contacts, which have nothing to do with AiCoin, and the consequences shall be borne by oneself.
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