[Probability of Fed Rate Cut and Rate Hold in December Meeting Are Comparable] FPMarkets Chief Market Analyst Aaron Hill pointed out in a report that the recent government shutdown has led to a lack of official data, posing challenges for the Federal Reserve's December policy meeting. Internal disagreements are evident, with some officials supporting a rate cut, but 'a meaningful hawkish repricing has already occurred.' LSEG data shows that the probability of a rate cut and maintaining rates unchanged in the currency market is currently roughly equal.