BTC under short-term pressure: 4-hour cycle black three soldier pattern suggests downside risk

[Delphi Digital: Altcoins May See Catch-Up Rally Following U.S. Small-Cap Breakout] Delphi Digital stated that the Altcoin Index Total3 has maintained a long-term correlation of approximately 0.75 with U.S. small-cap stocks (RUT) since early 2024, indicating that both are driven by liquidity and risk appetite. However, the short-term correlation has recently dropped to a historic low, suggesting a temporary decoupling in the short term. Historical data shows that similar situations may signal mean reversion, with lagging assets potentially experiencing a catch-up rally. If the macro environment remains favorable and small-cap stocks continue their breakout, altcoins could benefit.

[CEX Whale Ratio Rises, Binance BTC Inflows Near Annual Peak] On December 6, the whale ratio on trading platforms surged sharply, with the combined ratio across all platforms reaching 0.47, indicating that large holders are accelerating the transfer of Bitcoin to exchanges. Binance stands out particularly, with its 14-day exponential moving average rising to 0.427, the highest level since April. On-chain data shows that as of November 28, the 30-day simple moving average of BTC inflows to Binance reached 8,915 coins, approaching the annual peak of 9,031 coins recorded on March 3. Analysts point out that the increase in whale deposits may signal the onset of a selling phase. The current market faces pressure at the $96,000 resistance level and may need to absorb excess supply before seeking an upward breakout.

[Tether CEO Hopes Future Robots Can Eliminate Dependence on Centralized Infrastructure] Tether CEO Paolo Ardoino posted on the X platform, stating that in response to another outage of Cloudflare, he hopes future robots will no longer rely on centralized infrastructure.

[A dormant whale address transfers 1,000 BTC to a new address after 14 years of inactivity] On December 6, according to monitoring by Lookonchain, the whale address starting with 1Au1uZ woke up after 14 years of dormancy and transferred 1,000 Bitcoin (approximately $89 million) to a new wallet 4 hours ago. 14 years ago, this address received the 1,000 Bitcoin at a price of $3.88 per coin, with a total value of $3,883 at the time.