[Analyst Responds to the View That a 20% U.S. Stock Market Correction Would Trigger BTC to Plunge to $10,000: Prediction Too Extreme, Lacking Historical Basis] According to Deep Tide TechFlow, on October 17, in response to recent community opinions suggesting that a 20% correction in the U.S. stock market would cause Bitcoin to plunge to $10,000, crypto analyst Darkfost published an analysis stating that if Bitcoin were to drop to $10,000, it would represent a decline of approximately 87% from its current price and a retracement of about 92% from its all-time high. Historically, Bitcoin has only experienced a maximum retracement exceeding 92% in 2011; the maximum retracements in 2015, 2019, 2022, and 2026 were 82.5%, 82.6%, 74.4%, and 54.2%, respectively. Darkfost further pointed out that during a roughly 19.53% correction in the S&P 500 Index in 2018, Bitcoin fell by about 80%. However, in April 2025, when the S&P 500 Index similarly corrected by over 19%, Bitcoin only declined by about 22%. Therefore, directly linking a 20% U.S. stock market correction to Bitcoin dropping to $10,000 lacks sufficient historical data support.