[Polymarket Data Shows Democrats Have a 75.5% Chance of Sweeping Both House and Senate] On November 3, Polymarket data showed Democrats holding an advantage in both the House and Senate elections. Democrats have a 94.5% chance of winning the House and a 75.5% chance of winning the Senate. In the "Bicameral Power Structure" market, with a transaction volume exceeding $60 million, the probability of a Democratic sweep of both houses is 75.5%, the probability of Republicans retaining the Senate while Democrats win the House is 18.5%, and the probability of a Republican sweep is 5.5%. Furthermore, Democratic candidates are leading in the Senate races in several swing states, and in the gubernatorial elections, Republicans are expected to retain Texas and Florida, while Democrats are leading in Ohio, Nevada, and Wisconsin.
