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Analyst Curran: Stronger-than-expected non-farm payroll data would support a stance on raising interest rates.

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Analyst Curran said that if the data is stronger than expected, it will support a stance on raising interest rates and keep inflation a major concern. If the data falls far short of expectations, especially if data from previous months is revised downwards, the tone of the policy debate will change. AI Interpretation: Non-farm payroll data, as a core indicator of the vitality of the US economy, directly determines the direction of the Federal Reserve's monetary policy. Strong employment performance inevitably pushes up wage inflation pressures, forcing the Fed to maintain a tight stance to curb prices. Conversely, if job growth slows significantly and is accompanied by downward revisions to historical data, it clearly signals an economic slowdown, prompting policymakers to shift to an easing path. This data is a key indicator for the market to judge the turning point of interest rates, and its fluctuations directly reshape the logic of global asset pricing.

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