BTC falls below the $94000 mark

Click on the link to enter the meeting: https://meeting.tencent.com/dm/iYfqUiyrz5iO BTC plummeted 4260 points from its high of 94560, ETH retraced key support at 3088! Is it panic selling or a gold pit? Tonight's live broadcast focuses on the core: precise support resistance+clear long and short signals+pre landing hedging strategy of the Federal Reserve, capturing opportunities for intraday certainty!                                                                             🌍 Deep analysis of news and fundamentals (affecting today's market core) Federal Reserve policy expectations (maximum variable): The market generally expects a 25BP interest rate cut, but internal divisions have intensified. The options market shows that traders continue to buy downside protection rather than betting on gains. BTC is highly sensitive to policy news and is cautious of the "buy expectation sell fact" market trend; Contradictory institutional trends: Grayscale BTC Trust increased its holdings by 5000, but the inflow of spot ETF funds was only $56.5 million (the first stabilization in weeks), and the active addresses on the chain were close to the cycle low. The market demand side has not yet truly exerted its strength, and the current stability is more due to selling pressure exhaustion rather than buying drive; Unique positive support for ETH: Layer 2 ecosystem activity has increased, Arbitrum daily activity has exceeded 1.8 million, Gas fees remain low, coupled with expectations of supply tightening, psychological support for $3000 is extremely strong, and replenishment momentum is still present; Market sentiment reversal signal: The Crypto Fear&Greek Index has rebounded from "extreme fear" (15 points) in November to a neutral range, but the sentiment index has declined after BTC prices stabilized. Analysts warn that the sustainability of the upward trend is questionable and caution should be exercised against another drop in sentiment; Regulatory risk warning: The EU MiCA regulation has been implemented, and the disclosure requirements for stablecoin reserves have been upgraded. USDT liquidity has long been a concern, and in the short term, it is necessary to avoid small market value stablecoin related projects.               🎯 Today's precise trading strategy (divided by risk level, suitable for different investors) ✅ Steady type (position ≤ 30%, avoiding policy risks) BTC: 88700-89500 USDT, build multiple positions in batches, stop loss 87500 USDT (falling below strong support), target 91400 USDT (reducing resistance by 50%), and do not chase higher before the Federal Reserve lands; ETH: Place multiple orders at 3000-3050 USDT, with a stop loss of 2950 USDT and a first target of 3170 USDT. After breaking through, look towards 3380 USDT (take profit at trend resistance level); ⚡ Enterprising (position ≤ 50%, capturing short-term fluctuations) BTC Short term: Sell high and buy low in the range of 90300-91400 USDT, break through 91400 USDT to chase long (stop loss 90800 USDT), and go short when it falls below 89500 USDT (stop loss 90000 USDT); ETH Short term: Take a light position of 3088 USDT and try to go long. If you hold steady at 3170 USDT, immediately increase your position and target 3380 USDT with a stop loss of 3030 USDT (below the EMA15 moving average); Disclaimer: The above content only represents the author's personal opinion and is intended to assist investors in understanding information related to the capital market. It does not constitute any investment advice and does not represent the position or viewpoint of AiCoin. The market is risky and investments should be made with caution.

[Strategy Retains Nasdaq 100 Seat but Faces MSCI Exclusion Risk] Strategy retained its seat in this year's Nasdaq 100 index adjustment. Recently, Strategy purchased approximately 10,624 BTC for about $962.7 million, bringing its total holdings to 660,624 BTC, valued at nearly $60 billion. Strategy's stock price fell 3.74% on the day and has dropped over 15% this month. MSCI is considering excluding companies whose crypto assets exceed 50% of total assets, which could impact Strategy as early as January next year. JPMorgan warned that if implemented, passive funds might be forced to sell $2.8 billion worth of Strategy stock. Strategy executives have written to MSCI, arguing that Strategy is an operating entity.

[A newly created address withdrew 1,614 ETH from Kraken] Newly created address 0x1f1...E0336 withdrew 1,614 ETH from Kraken 3 hours ago, with a total value of $5.03 million and a withdrawal price of $3,115.79 per ETH.

[1011 Insider Whale Suffers $22.43M Unrealized Loss in 24 Hours, Jeffrey Huang Faces $1.002M Unrealized Loss] On-chain data shows that the '1011 Insider Whale' experienced an unrealized loss of $22.43 million in 24 hours. As the market rebounded, the unrealized loss on its $670 million long position narrowed to $12.97 million. Among this, the ETH holdings amount to nearly $550 million, with unrealized losses accounting for over 80%. Due to a high margin of $129 million, the liquidation probability remains low. 'Big Brother Machi' Jeffrey Huang faced an unrealized loss of $1.002 million in 24 hours. After being liquidated for a $720,000 loss early in the morning, he added $200,000 in margin. He currently holds 3,875 ETH with an unrealized loss of $300,000. The liquidation price is $3,053.73, leaving only $58.97 of room from the mark price.

Saifedean Ammous stated that the popularity of Bitcoin will not stem from its coolness like the iPhone, but from its popularity like gunpowder, and if one does not hold Bitcoin, they will become its victim. （Bitcoin Archive）