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Bitcoin (BTC) intraday analysis
1. Price dynamics
The current quote is 118016, with a 24-hour decline of 0.13%, reaching a low of 117985 during trading (testing key support).
Institutional selling pressure continues: Recently, institutions have net outflows of 285.2 million BTC through ETFs, putting short-term liquidity pressure.
2. Technical signals
Short dominant: MACD momentum is bearish, and the closing of the Bollinger Bands indicates a narrowing of volatility; EMA120 (117650) is the key support, and if it falls below, it may explore the range of 116000-114000.
Double Top Risk: The MVRV indicator suggests that a "double top" structure may form in early September, raising concerns about a mid-term pullback.
Upper resistance: 119200-120500, requires a breakthrough in volume to reverse the decline.
3. Operation strategy
Short position opportunity: Try short near 118500, stop loss 119200, target 117500-117000.
Be cautious when placing multiple orders: If the support area of 116500-115500 stabilizes, it may lead to a rebound and a stop loss of 115000.
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Ethereum (ETH) intraday analysis
1. Price dynamics
Reported at 3789, with a 24-hour decline of 0.5%, dominated by intraday liquidation: in the past hour, among the 13.95 million liquidation positions on the entire network, 86% (about 12 million) were long orders, and ETH contributed 29.5%.
On chain selling pressure: 694000 ETH (approximately 2.64 billion) queued up to exit the staking network, with withdrawal delays of up to 12 days and a sharp drop in new staking demand.
2. Technical signals
Bear market signal strengthening: The candlestick pattern of the "Black Three Soldiers" suggests that the pullback will continue, and the momentum of MACD bulls will weaken.
Key support: 3680-3550 (EMA120), if lost, look down at 3500; The resistance level is between 3950-4000 (the highest psychological threshold).
Medium - to long-term optimism: ETH market share rises to 12% (a 5-year high), and if it breaks through 4000, it may open a new bull market.
3. Operation strategy
Short orders are the main focus: test short in the 3950-4000 range, stop loss at 4050, target at 3750-3650.
Multi order defense: Radicals take low positions at 3550-3500, stop loss at 3450, and seek technical rebound.
Comprehensive Strategy
Bitcoin: Pay attention to the effectiveness of support at 117650, if it falls below, it will accelerate its downward trend; Avoid chasing too much before stabilizing at 119200.
Ethereum: Strong resistance at 4000, with a short-term focus on high levels. Pay attention to the impact of the progress of staking exits on market sentiment.
Risk Warning: Today's intensive release of China US negotiations, interest rate meetings, and non farm payroll data, be cautious of sudden rises and falls, and avoid light positions in the market. Strictly cut losses.
In this rebound led by Bitcoin, we have witnessed the power of technical analysis and the infinite possibilities of the market. Let's remain calm and continue to follow, because the story of Bitcoin continues. Welcome to the live broadcast room for communication, and at the same time, share practical knowledge and secret tactics!
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Disclaimer: The above content only represents the author's personal opinion and is for communication and sharing purposes only. It does not represent the position or viewpoint of AiCoin and does not constitute any investment advice. Based on this investment, there may be external contacts, which have nothing to do with AiCoin, and the consequences shall be borne by oneself.