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[Matrixport: Bitcoin at a Critical Turning Point, Market Uncertainty Increases Due to Multiple Interwoven Factors] Matrixport's daily chart analysis highlights that Bitcoin is currently in a rare phase where positions, market sentiment, and macro policy factors are colliding simultaneously. Although implied volatility has significantly declined and demand for crash protection has weakened, Bitcoin's price remains below a historically challenging key level. At the same time, an important on-chain cost basis indicator is being tested, which has often served as the dividing line between 'panic' and 'deep value' in the past. The Federal Reserve's tone shift has triggered a surge in rate cut expectations, but historical data shows that this phase often leads traders to misjudge market trends. Seasonal patterns and trend structures point in different directions, both supported by data.

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