[Wintermute: Decisions by the Federal Reserve and the Bank of Japan Will Determine the Direction of the Next Trend] Wintermute stated that recent price movements reflect a pause rather than a reversal, with market activity concentrated in the most liquid segments. Decisions by the Federal Reserve this week and the Bank of Japan next week will determine year-end interest rate differentials and cross-asset volatility. In the absence of decisive macro surprises, cryptocurrencies are likely to continue range-bound trading. The rise of neutral delta and carry strategies indicates that the market prioritizes capital efficiency, reinforcing consolidation as the dominant trend at present.
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