CME data shows a high probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged
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According to CME's "Federal Reserve Watch", the probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged until June is 95.2%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 4.8%. The probability of keeping interest rates unchanged until July is 92.2%, the probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 7.7%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 50 basis points is 0.2%. The probability of keeping interest rates unchanged until September is 86.1%, the probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 13.2%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 50 basis points is 0.6%.