According to CME Federal Reserve observation data, the probability of the Fed keeping interest rates unchanged until December is 39.6%, the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point interest rate cut is 1%, and the probability of the Fed raising interest rates within the year has fallen to 59.4%. Among them, the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point interest rate hike is 42.3%, the probability of a cumulative 50 basis point interest rate hike is 14.9%, the probability of a cumulative 75 basis point interest rate hike is 2.1%, and the probability of a cumulative 100 basis point interest rate hike is 0.1%.
