The Fed's October meeting? The market's too tired to bet on it anymore. CME, Kalshi, and Polymarket are all putting the odds of 'no action in October' at around 80% now. Back in September, it was a coin toss until the final week. The current market consensus: October is pretty much priced in, and $BTC has been trading in a narrow range since late September. But here's the thing—pausing doesn't mean it's over. There's still a chance for rate hikes in December, and long-term U.S. Treasury yields are sitting at multi-decade highs. If tonight's CPI comes in hotter than expected, can that 80% still hold?
