QwQiao: Considering the AI boom and doomsday probability, Anthropic's target valuation should be discounted by 50%

QwQiao, co-founder of AllianceDAO, stated in a post that when calculating the expected value of Anthropic, the probability of AI bringing infinite prosperity or human extinction should be taken into account, and the total probability of these two scenarios should be set at 50%. QwQiao believes that money is only important in the intermediate scenario where humans continue to work, so Anthropic's target valuation should be discounted by 50%.