Kalshi predicts a 90% probability of a Democratic sweep in the 2026 midterm elections.
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Kalshi's predictions show a 90% probability that the Democratic Party will sweep both the House and Senate in the 2026 midterm elections, the highest probability in history. (The Bitcoin Historian)
Solana Network stablecoin card spending reached a record high of $141 million in October. This is seven times higher than the same period last year. The data comes from Paymentscan and only tracks on-chain spending.
Predict.fun data shows a 77% probability of Democrats winning both the U.S. Senate and House of Representatives. A Silver Bulletin poll shows Democrats leading Republicans by 8.9 percentage points. Seldon's prediction model shows Democrats with a 79% probability of winning the Senate and a 99% probability of winning the House. The probability of Republicans retaining the Senate and Democrats winning the House is 19%, the probability of Republicans retaining both houses is 5%, and the probability of Democrats winning the Senate and Republicans retaining the House is 1%. Mainstream analysis predicts Democrats will gain 12 to 22 seats in the House, and Predict.fun gives a 96% probability of Democrats regaining the House.
Brother Machi holds a 25x leveraged long position of 2725 ETH, with an average opening price of $2263.04 and a mark price of $2250. The current unrealized loss is approximately $35534, and the liquidation price is $2227.34, which is only about 1% away from the current mark price.
Consensys has launched a sovereign network interoperability solution that enables institutions to settle securities, exchange currencies, and issue collateral across ledgers without cross-chain transactions or asset transfers. Based on Ethereum, the solution ensures transactions are visible only to the relevant parties, assets remain on the native ledger, and cross-ledger execution is verified using zero-knowledge proof cryptography, eliminating the need for additional trusted intermediaries.
On November 3, Huang Licheng's 25x leveraged long position in ETH showed a floating loss of $27,000, after previously showing a floating profit of $110,000. Currently, the size of this long position has decreased by nearly half compared to yesterday, holding 2,725 ETH, with an opening price of $2,263.04 and a liquidation price of $2,227.31.