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Predict.fun data shows a 77% probability of Democrats winning both the U.S. Senate and House of Representatives. A Silver Bulletin poll shows Democrats leading Republicans by 8.9 percentage points. Seldon's prediction model shows Democrats with a 79% probability of winning the Senate and a 99% probability of winning the House. The probability of Republicans retaining the Senate and Democrats winning the House is 19%, the probability of Republicans retaining both houses is 5%, and the probability of Democrats winning the Senate and Republicans retaining the House is 1%. Mainstream analysis predicts Democrats will gain 12 to 22 seats in the House, and Predict.fun gives a 96% probability of Democrats regaining the House.