The probability of a 50 basis point rate hike by the Federal Reserve in December is 11.5%, and expectations for a rate hike in January next year are changing.

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According to CME's FedWatch tool, the probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in December is 0%, the probability of a 25 basis point rate hike is 88.5%, and the probability of a 50 basis point rate hike is 11.5%. The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged until January next year is 0%, the probability of a cumulative rate hike of 25 basis points is 33.6%, the probability of a cumulative rate hike of 50 basis points is 59.2%, and the probability of a cumulative rate hike of 75 basis points is 7.1%.

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