1. The probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates in October reaches 94.1%, with an 82% chance of a 50 basis point cut in December
According to CME's "FedWatch" data, the probability of the Federal Reserve cutting rates by 25 basis points in October is as high as 94.1%, while the likelihood of maintaining the current rate is only 5.9%. Looking ahead to the December meeting, the probability of keeping rates unchanged drops to 0.8%, with a cumulative probability of a 25 basis point cut at 17.3%, and a significant increase in the probability of a 50 basis point cut to 82.0%. This data reflects the market's growing expectations for further easing of the Federal Reserve's monetary policy. -Original
2. U.S. Senate Democrats' DeFi regulatory proposal faces multiple criticisms
The U.S. Senate Democrats have proposed a regulatory framework targeting illegal activities in DeFi, requiring the assessment of the degree of decentralization of protocols and treating DeFi front-end service developers as intermediaries. This proposal has faced criticism from Republican lawmakers and the crypto industry, who argue it could restrict DeFi and wallet development, forcing developers to relocate overseas. A Republican spokesperson described the proposal as chaotic and difficult to advance legislatively. Experts indicate that the final bill will require some support from Democrats and coordination with the House of Representatives. -Original
3. Coinbase and Mastercard bid for stablecoin company BVNK, with amounts potentially reaching $2.5 billion
Sources told Fortune magazine that if the sale proceeds smoothly, it could become the largest stablecoin acquisition to date, with Coinbase's bid expected to exceed that of Mastercard. -Original
4. U.S. initial jobless claims data not released due to government shutdown
Due to the U.S. government shutdown, the initial jobless claims data for the week ending October 4, the four-week average, and the continuing claims data were not released as scheduled. -Original
5. Bybit obtains virtual asset operating license in the UAE, expanding into the Middle East market
Cryptocurrency exchange Bybit announced that it has obtained a virtual asset platform operator license issued by the UAE Securities and Commodities Authority (SCA). This license allows Bybit to provide regulated virtual asset trading, brokerage services, custody solutions, and fiat currency conversion services to retail and institutional clients within the UAE. This marks a significant step in Bybit's global market expansion and reflects the UAE's support for the cryptocurrency industry and the improvement of its regulatory framework. -Original
6. Roger Ver pays $48 million to reach a settlement agreement with the U.S. Department of Justice
On October 10, The New York Times reported that "Bitcoin Jesus" Roger Ver has reached a settlement agreement with the U.S. Department of Justice, with his fraud and tax evasion charges being dropped on the condition of paying a $48 million fine. -Original
7. Ethereum Foundation and Consensys release ERC-8004 protocol to promote the development of the AI agent economy
The Ethereum Foundation's dAI team and Consensys have officially released the final version of the ERC-8004 protocol, aimed at achieving decentralized collaboration for AI agents. The protocol allocates ERC-721 identity tokens to AI agents through an on-chain registry (identity, reputation, verification), supporting minting, management, and cross-platform discovery. Since its drafting in August, ERC-8004 has attracted over a hundred companies to participate in its development, receiving broad community support. This protocol also introduces an on-chain reputation mechanism to enhance the credibility of economic interactions. -Original
8. Global listed companies increase holdings of over 190,000 BTC in Q3 2025
According to Bitcoin News, global listed companies increased their holdings by 190,611 bitcoins in the third quarter of 2025, with a total value of $23.36 billion. -Original
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