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Can the cryptocurrency world recreate the glory of 2021?

CN
大牛研习社
1 day ago

2021 was the golden age recognized by the cryptocurrency community: Bitcoin soared to $69,000, Ethereum stabilized at $4,000, NFT, DeFi, and blockchain gaming concepts erupted, altcoins doubled everywhere, and the total market value surpassed $3 trillion, creating an unprecedented carnival where everyone entered the market and made money with their eyes closed.

Now, although the cryptocurrency market continues to reach new highs and institutional funds keep entering, the frenzy of the public is gone. Many investors have a question: Can the cryptocurrency market replicate the bull market of 2021? The answer is clear: The general rise of 2021 is basically impossible to reproduce, but new opportunities to make money still exist in the market.

1. The 2021 Bull Market: An Irreplicable Convergence of Multiple Dividends

The super bull market of that year was not a market accident but a result of the layering of multiple special conditions, all of which were indispensable.

First, global monetary easing and a flood of hot money. During the pandemic, countries around the world loosened monetary policy, and with interest rates cut, money printed, and fiscal subsidies maximized, the traditional investment returns remained sluggish, resulting in a massive influx of idle funds into the cryptocurrency market, providing ample liquidity support for a general rise across the entire market.

Second, concentrated industry windfalls. DeFi mining, NFT digital collectibles, and metaverse blockchain games broke through one after another, with fresh gameplay and wealth stories continuously emerging, completely breaking the single pattern of cryptocurrency speculation, attracting a massive influx of newcomers.

Third, mainstream institutions fully backed the market. Tesla, PayPal, and Wall Street investment banks entered the game,Coinbase successfully went public, completely removing the label of "scam" from the cryptocurrency world, greatly boosting market confidence.

Fourth, retail investor sentiment peaked. The FOMO (fear of missing out) sentiment surged across the internet, leveraging and all-in strategies became the norm, regardless of project quality, new currencies skyrocketed upon listing, creating a generalized bull market.

2. The Current Four Major Changes That Completely End the Savage Bull Market

Years later, the underlying logic of the market has completely changed, and the splendor of 2021 can no longer be replicated.

1. The liquidity environment has completely reversed. After global inflation rose, countries tightened monetary policies, and interest rate hikesand balance sheet reductions became the norm, significantly reducing the hot money in the market, making it impossible for unlimited funds to support a widespread rise in all cryptocurrencies.

2. Global regulations have fully materialized. Countries have formed their cryptocurrency regulations, cracking down on air coins, illegal token issuance, and illegal transactions, completely eliminating gray arbitrage opportunities, marking the end of the era when worthless coins skyrocketed freely.

3. Market participants have completely changed. In the past, retail investors dominated the market; now, institutional funds have become the main force.Bitcoin ETFs continue to attract funding, with institutions adhering to long-term holding strategies, leading to reduced market volatility, making it difficult to see a short-term explosive bull market, while the competition among sectors is divided, and funds are scattered, making it hard to form an overall bull market.

4. Investor sentiment has returned to rationality. After experiencing rounds of bull and bear market washouts, the fantasy of retail investors getting rich has been shattered, and they no longer blindly follow the trend or go all-in. Investors now value the practical value of projects, and air projects that merely tell stories can no longer harvest the market.

3. Opportunities Still Exist in the Cryptocurrency Market, But the Strategies Have Completely Changed

The absence of a widespread bull market does not mean that there are no profits in the cryptocurrency world; rather, the investment logic has been completely rewritten.

Mainstream cryptocurrencies remain the ballast of the market, with Bitcoin and Ethereum relying on institutional funds and compliance to maintain a long-term trend of stable growth, highlighting their value as steady assets.

The altcoin market has undergone complete survival of the fittest; it is no longer a single rise for all. Only sectors with real implementation and technical support, such as AI encryption, decentralized computing power, and compliant payments can generate independent market movements, while the vast majority of worthless coins will continue to decline to zero.

4. Conclusion: Farewell to the Fantasy of Getting Rich Quickly, Adapt to the New Cryptocurrency Market

The glory of 2021 was a benefit of a special cycle, destined to be unreplicable. The cryptocurrency world has shed its frenzy of wild growth, moving towards compliance, maturity, and rationality.

For ordinary investors, it is essential to discard the old thinking of getting rich with closed eyes, stay away from worthless altcoins, focus on mainstream assets, manage position risks, and adapt to the new market rhythm of structural slow bull, as this is currently the most prudent investment approach.

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