BlockBeats news, on November 25th, QCP released a daily opinion stating that yesterday, the cryptocurrency market fell and over $100 million worth of BTC and ETH positions were liquidated on major exchanges. However, BTC and ETH are still trading steadily above key support levels (95000 and 3200 respectively). Despite the weekend market correction, the long-term volatility remains relatively high. The market seems to expect BTC to consolidate sideways before December, while the focus in the short term shifts to ETH.
The risk reversal of ETH still heavily favors short-term call options, while the demand for BTC call options is mainly concentrated after December 27, 2024, driven by the potential impact of Trump's pro crypto policies, which are expected to take effect as early as later next year. As we mentioned last week, if BTC continues to fail to break through 100000, there may be a trend of funds shifting from BTC to ETH and other altcoins. In fact, this situation has already begun to occur.
In the past week, the market value of BTC has decreased from 62% to 59%. Despite the sustained strong inflow of funds from spot ETFs and the bullish trend of IBIT options supporting BTC, it seems that BTC is still struggling to move forward in the face of a huge 100000 sell order wall.