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electoral track recordintense useThe leaders of the companies responsible for the river of money that flooded U.S. political shores this year have already benefited tremendously from the outcome of last month's election — increasing their personal fortunes by billions of dollars, far outpacing the large spending they devoted to crypto-friendly candidates.Coinbase Inc. (COIN) CEO Brian Armstrong and his company devoted some $74 million to the industry's dominant political action committee, Fairshake, putting Armstrong in a close lead over a few other crypto insiders. That's an especially significant amount of money from a company that booked about $95 million in 2023 profits. But the elections went their way, and the company's value has ballooned by $21 billion since Nov. 4, the day before in-person voting began and the outcome became clear.In a pre-programmed series of trades starting less than a week after the election, Armstrong sold $100 million worth of his Coinbase shares. Those same shares on the night before the election had been worth about $39 million less. A week after that, he cashed in about $313 million — all part of a selling strategy he'd set in motion if the price spiked.Since then, the co-founder and CEO sold smaller amounts week after week, for a total of about $437 million for stock that was worth $308 million before the victories of President-elect Donald Trump and a slate of congressional lawmakers backed by crypto. In other words, the pro-crypto sentiment surging after the election outcome that Armstrong helped shape earned him an additional $129 million in wealth for the shares he sold.He still owns more than 10% of the largest U.S. crypto exchange, and the value of about 24 million shares tucked into his trust, according to the latest Securities and Exchange Commission filings, is about $6.4 billion — up near $2 billion since Nov. 5.Armstrong's stock sales were planned less than three months before the U.S. elections, submitted in a formal strategy meant to distance corporate insiders from accusations of gaming the markets. And the sales haven't yet reached the halfway point of the SEC-disclosed intent to offload as many as 3.75 million shares, depending on the stock price meeting "certain threshold prices specified in the Armstrong Plan."He took to social media site X to explain the plan several days before the elections, saying he was diversifying "to make investments in moonshots" but would be keeping the "vast majority" of his shares. He said he put the price targets so high that he didn't expect that most of it would sell in the next year "unless we do much better than expected." COIN's stock is currently trading around $276, up from around $186 on Nov. 4.A Coinbase spokesperson referred CoinDesk to that post when asked for comment.His rivals among crypto leaders who devoted similar levels of cash to the elections included Ripple Labs CEO Brad Garlinghouse and the namesake chiefs of investment firm Andreessen Horowitz (a16z). Ripple gave $73 million, and a16z put in $70 million, including large amounts held over for the next election cycle in 2026.Garlinghouse reportedly owns more than 6% of Ripple, the company, and a large but unspecified amount of the token tied to it, XRP. Various reports put him high among the list of U.S. billionaires as a result. In the wake of the election, XRP surged to become the third-largest crypto asset by market cap.While Garlinghouse chose not to weigh in with details on his net worth, he credited excitement over the return of Trump to the White House in a statement to CoinDesk."The crypto market is up over $1 trillion since Trump won — that’s the price of Gensler’s foot on the neck of the market, and he’s not even officially gone yet," Garlinghouse said.Since the election, Garlinghouse's holdings of XRP have multiplied more than three times as the price of the token jumped from $0.50 to $2.32. And though the non-public Ripple Labs valuation is uncertain and was last set in the neighborhood of $11 billion earlier this year, the election has almost certainly boosted the worth of his major stake. Garlinghouse's personal wealth has likely skyrocketed as a result.The financial status of Mark Andreessen and Ben Horowitz is even murkier, but both men have gained dramatically since last month from their many stakes in crypto companies, likely outpacing the money they devoted to U.S. politics. But the financial figures aren't available for a16z's investments in private companies as they are for public Coinbase.The firm's vast crypto portfolio includes stakes in Coinbase, Uniswap, Solana, EigenLayer and Anchorage Digital and dozens of others. Virtually all of them became more valuable as the U.S. executive branch will be run by Trump, who says he'll be the crypto president, and the 535-member Congress includes some 300 predicted to be supportive of digital assets — including the dozens just supported by Fairshake in their elections.But a company spokesman declined to comment on CoinDesk's review of the gains for Andreessen and Horowitz as individuals.A16z's dip into U.S. politics was aimed "to help advance clear rules of the road that will support American innovation while holding bad actors to account," according to a post from the firm's Chris Dixon. Separately from Fairshake, Andreessen and Horowitz backed Trump's election effort. And Andreessen has become an adviser to the pro-crypto president-elect as he prepares to start his second term next month. The crypto benefactors from Coinbase, Ripple and a16z combined to make the Fairshake super PAC and its affiliates into the most powerful corporate campaign-finance effort in the 2024 elections, helping 53 members of next year's Congress win their races. However, Fairshake didn't weigh in on the presidential election, which may have had the largest effect on crypto market prices. Garlinghouse, in a post-election interview on 60 Minutes, said, “I think it’s clear that Donald Trump embraced crypto and crypto embraced Donald Trump." While he didn't claim credit for Trump's success, Garlinghouse said the crypto PACs "absolutely helped supercharge the candidates" and influenced outcomes in congressional contests.His company pledged $5 million in XRP to Trump's inauguration — the celebration next month of his return to the presidency — and Coinbase and fellow U.S. crypto exchange Kraken have also raised their hands to fund it.During the elections, the crypto industry was accused by its critics of being remarkably transactional in its political strategy — putting money into the best places to ensure future pro-crypto votes on legislation and buying more than $130 million in congressional campaign ads with framing across the political spectrum (and without mentioning crypto). Gains for the sector have meant a boost for the three main companies behind Fairshake and for their individual leaders, who are tied to them financially.The sector's political effort went in "purely on interests of the specific industry," said Rick Claypool, the research director at Public Citizen who has examined crypto's campaign spending. "Short term, obviously this has caused a big bump in crypto."The return on investment for industries putting money into politics can "often be pretty good," said Mark Hays, a senior policy analyst at Americans for Financial Reform, who has also worked on campaign finance issues. "Crypto is newer, and so the opportunity for growth is larger."While Armstrong and the others prefer a political narrative that features a grassroots upswell in crypto voters that shifted the elections, he and his company were directly behind establishing Stand With Crypto, the group that's billed as a grassroots effort to harness the will of crypto voters. And Fairshake's political influence was based almost entirely on money from Coinbase and the partner companies, plus smaller amounts from Jump Crypto and Gemini.Gemini's leaders, Tyler and Cameron Winklevoss, were also among Trump's loudest fans in crypto.The day after the voting, Cameron Winklevoss posted on X: "Imagine how much we are going to accomplish in the next 4 years now that the crypto industry won't be hemorrhaging $ billions on legal fees fighting the SEC and instead investing this money into building the future of money. Amazing awaits."On Nov. 11, the day Armstrong began selling large amounts of Coinbase stock, Tyler Winklevoss posted, "The shackles are off, 100k incoming." Bitcoin hit that mark a month after the election.
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BlockBeats News: On December 25th, Meme Coin KOL Murad released a chart showing that the number of holders holding over $1000 can serve as a useful indicator of Memecoin community beliefs. The more people there are, the more active the community becomes. Among them: The number of users with PEPE holdings exceeding $1000 is 77145, ranking first among all meme communities, accounting for 21.5% of the total number of Pepe community members. WIF ranks second with 24147 users holding over $1000, followed closely by SPX6900, POPCAT, and MOG.
Odaily Planet Daily News: Trader Eugene Ng Ah Sio has released a recent SOL trading summary, stating that after perfectly long BTC from $102000 to $107000, he has decided to transfer this profit to long positions in SOL and the SOL ecosystem. At that time, the entry point provided a moderate risk return ratio (r/r), specifically: a long position of $220 for SOL, $2.75 for WIF, and $0.037 for BONK. This is based on SOL's strong performance in low time frames (LTF) and the confidence brought by the success of previous transactions. When the BTC market began to turn around at 108k, they didn't like the trading performance of some meme coins, so they decisively liquidated the underperforming assets and accepted an acceptable loss (which was the right move). However, it did not liquidate SOL's position, but instead chose to increase its position from $20 million to $30 million. This led to the formation of the first error. Mistake one is not timely stop loss: It is usually advisable to exit in a timely manner when the position begins to lose its strength, in order to avoid greater losses. However, this time we chose not to cut losses when SOL fell to $215. Although we believed that the market would experience downward volatility before and after the FOMC interest rate meeting, bias overwhelmed logic. $200 is a key support level for SOL, and it is very close. We do not want to be "cut off" by the market for trying to seize the 5% volatility. When SOL fell to the support level of $200, it further increased its position from $30 million to $45 million, citing the best risk return ratio at the high time frame (HTF) support level. The second mistake was ignoring the stop loss point: when SOL fell below $200, the clear action should have been to close the position according to the plan. However, choosing to continue holding because the position size is already so large that closing it at this time could trigger a waterfall drop in SOL prices to $190 and disrupt the entire chart. At this point, one begins to hold onto "hopium" and think that "there may be a downward trend that falls below the support line and then rises again". This psychological state is definitely a red warning signal. In addition, when the price fell below $200, leverage was added in the range of $187 to $193, expanding the position size to nearly $60 million (total account leverage reached 1.2 times), which was clearly a wrong operation and the errors began to accumulate. Fortunately, there was no complete 'black swan' event and no greater punishment was imposed as a result.
BlockBeats news, on December 25th, top trader Eugene Ng Ah Sio released his recent trading summary, stating that after perfectly long BTC from $102000 to $107000, I have decided to transfer this profit to long positions in SOL and the SOL ecosystem. At that time, the entry point provided a moderate risk return ratio (r/r), specifically: a long position of $220 for SOL, $2.75 for WIF, and $0.037 for BONK. This is based on SOL's strong performance in low time frames (LTF) and the confidence brought by the success of previous transactions. When the BTC market began to turn at 108k, I didn't like the trading performance of some meme coins, so I decisively liquidated the underperforming assets and accepted an acceptable loss (which was the right move). However, I did not liquidate SOL's position, but instead chose to increase it from $20 million to $30 million. This led to the formation of the first error. Error 1: Failure to stop loss in a timely manner: Typically, one of my strengths is the ability to exit a position in a timely manner when it begins to lose strength, in order to avoid greater losses. However, this time, I chose not to cut losses when SOL fell to $215, even though I believe the market will experience downward volatility before and after the FOMC interest rate meeting. My bias overwhelms logic, and the psychological excuse I use to comfort myself is that $200 is a key support level for SOL, and it's very close. I don't want to be "cut off" by the market for trying to capture the 5% volatility. When SOL fell to the support level of $200, I further increased my position from $30 million to $45 million, citing the best risk return ratio at the high time frame (HTF) support level. I don't think this is a mistake, but it does make the already complex situation even more dangerous. Error 2: Ignoring Stop Loss Point: When SOL falls below $200, the clear action should be to close the position according to the plan. However, I choose to continue holding because the position size is already so large that if I close it at this time, it could trigger a waterfall drop in SOL prices to $190 and disrupt the entire chart. At this point, I began to hold onto 'hopium', thinking that 'perhaps there will be a downward trend that falls below the support line and then rises again'. This psychological state is definitely a red warning signal, I will pay special attention to it. In addition, when the price fell below $200, I added leverage in the range of $187 to $193, expanding the position size to nearly $60 million (total account leverage reached 1.2 times). This is obviously a wrong operation, but as you can see, the errors are starting to stack up. Fortunately, there was no complete 'black swan' event, and I did not receive any greater punishment for it. The right place to do it: When the floating loss reached 7-8 million US dollars, I decided "enough" and decisively cut the loss. I liquidated 70% of my position at $193, which freed up cash for me to rebuild positions at the final bottom, including ETH, ENA, PEPE, and WIF, almost hitting the lowest point. After the transaction: Ultimately, the actual profit and loss (rPNL) of this transaction was a loss of $6.2 million, approximately -10.2%. Since then, I have executed 13 trades, all of which have resulted in profits, essentially making up for this loss. I think this is a great example of how a transaction can go wrong from the beginning, and then the mistakes continue to stack up, ultimately becoming very bad, especially when the 'sunk cost mentality' prevails. Fortunately, I was able to break free from this mindset, which allowed me to trade calmly and accurately at the bottom of the market. This is the biggest loss I have made on a single position in this account, and I will remember this lesson for a long time. Merry Christmas, friends.