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Trump's tariff policy on October 1, 2025 may have multiple impacts on financial markets:
Stock market decline: Tariff policies will increase costs for businesses, affect their profit expectations, and ultimately lead to a stock market decline. The cost of large truck manufacturers in the United States may rise due to tariffs on raw materials such as steel and aluminum, and their stock prices may be impacted. Meanwhile, the stock prices of companies in related industries affected by tariffs may also decline, leading to poor overall stock market performance.
• Bond market volatility: With the increase of economic uncertainty, investors will seek refuge, and the demand for treasury bond and other safe assets will rise, driving up the price of treasury bond and lowering the yield. But if the tariff policy leads to an increase in inflation expectations, it may also put some pressure on the bond market, causing fluctuations in bond yields.
Fluctuations in the foreign exchange market: Tariff policies may affect the trade relations and economic situation between the United States and other countries, leading to exchange rate fluctuations. For example, tariff policies towards countries such as Mexico and Canada may affect the exchange rates of the US dollar against the Canadian dollar and Mexican peso.
• Price fluctuations of goods: Imposing tariffs on drugs, furniture, and other goods will affect their import and sales, leading to price fluctuations. Furniture prices in the United States have risen by 4.7% year-on-year in August and may continue to rise in the future. In addition, tariff policies may also affect commodity markets, such as raw material prices of steel, aluminum, etc., which may fluctuate due to tariff policies.
Technical analysis
BTC Weekly Line M Double Top Formation: Breaking from 114000 to around 108000, breaking through the middle track, with double tops formed in four hours, and a target for a pullback of around 100000
ETH weekly double top formation: fell below the key level of 4300, and the daily lower track was dropped to around 3800. Currently, there is a demand for a pullback, with the key level around 3500
So, how do we proceed next?
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Disclaimer: The above content only represents the author's personal opinion and is intended to assist investors in understanding information related to the capital market. It does not constitute any investment advice and does not represent the position or viewpoint of AiCoin. The market is risky and investments should be made with caution.