[Citigroup Initiates Coverage on MSTR, Assigns Buy Rating and Predicts Significant Bitcoin Surge]
Citigroup has initiated coverage on MicroStrategy (MSTR) for the first time, assigning a Buy/High Risk rating and setting a target price of $485. On Tuesday, during early U.S. trading hours, MSTR shares rose 1.5%, trading around $301. In its report, Citigroup predicts that Bitcoin could reach $181,000 within the next 12 months, representing a 63% increase from current levels. Based on this forecast, Citigroup expects MSTR's net asset value (NAV) premium to range between 25% and 35%, consistent with its historical Bitcoin return multiple of 2.5x to 3.5x.
Citigroup analysts pointed out that MSTR represents a leveraged bet on Bitcoin's price performance, with significant upside potential during bull markets. However, if Bitcoin's price drops by 25% and the NAV premium shifts to a 10% discount, MSTR's stock price could decline by approximately 61%. The report also mentioned that MSTR is expected to further expand its Bitcoin holdings through the issuance of convertible bonds, preferred shares, and common stock.