The dormant Bitcoin wallet of the Satoshi Nakamoto era, which holds tens of thousands of BTC, will be reactivated in 2025, marking the "whale awakening" and a shift in long-term supply. （Cointelegraph）

[Gemini Obtains CFTC License to Launch Prediction Market, Plans Expansion into Crypto Derivatives] The U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) has officially granted Gemini Exchange a Designated Contract Market (DCM) license, allowing Gemini to launch a prediction market platform called Gemini Titan, initially offering binary event contracts. Gemini stated that it may expand in the future to crypto futures, options, and perpetual contracts regulated by the CFTC.

The fund will run on Solana at launch and use PYUSD.

[Probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in January 2026 is 22.1%] CME 'FedWatch' data shows that the probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in January 2026 is 22.1%, while the probability of keeping rates unchanged is 77.9%. The probability of the Federal Reserve cumulatively cutting interest rates by 25 basis points by March next year is 40.7%, the probability of keeping rates unchanged is 52%, and the probability of cumulatively cutting interest rates by 50 basis points is 7.4%.

[Market Analysis: Fed Internal Dissent Did Not Significantly Impact the Market] Eugene Epstein, Head of Trading and Structured Products at New Jersey-based Monecorp, stated that in the Federal Reserve's latest rate decision, three members expressed dissent, with disagreements among the dissenters: two voted against a rate cut, while Stephen Milan voted for a 50 basis point rate cut. Epstein believes this dissent did not have a substantial impact on the market, as it was perceived as a 'hawkish rate cut' and the dissent had already been anticipated by the market.