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The cryptocurrency market as a whole is in a sluggish state, with the annual growth rate basically smoothed out and even showing a slight negative growth. The price of Bitcoin (BTC) is hovering around $88000, while Ethereum (ETH) is around $2900-3000, with a total market value of around $3 trillion, a significant decline from its high point this year.
1: Overall market review and year-end slump - In 2025, the cryptocurrency market experienced a severe fluctuation of first rising and then falling. Although the Trump administration initially brought expectations of "pro crypto" policies, the slow implementation of actual policies, coupled with the hawkish stance of the Federal Reserve, tariff uncertainty, and macroeconomic liquidity tightening, led to a large-scale sell-off and liquidation at the end of the year. Bitcoin surged from its low point at the beginning of the year to a historical high of $126000 throughout the year, but has continued to decline since December, wiping out most of its gains. Funds are flowing into traditional safe haven assets such as gold and silver, and the narrative of Bitcoin's "digital gold" has not yet been effective.
2: Price and sentiment indicators - At the end of the year, there was strong market panic, and the Fear&Greek index remained in the "extreme fear" zone for a long time. Long term holders' selling pressure has eased, but overall investors are showing signs of surrender.
3: Institutional and Regulatory Dynamics - Institutional Activity Differentiation: The size of spot ETFs once exceeded $160 billion, but there was a net outflow at the end of the year. Although the Trump administration pardoned CZ and released pro crypto signals, it did not immediately establish a national Bitcoin reserve, disappointing market expectations.
4: ETH trend judgment: short-term rebound and upward trend, do interval consolidation within the box; The bottoming process may be completed. If it remains above $2900, I am optimistic about reaching $3080-3150-3300. Otherwise, it may fall back to the 2680 range.
BTC trend judgment: Short term volatile upward trend, but high risk. If it remains above $85200, support long positions; If it breaks through $90000, it can reach $93300; Otherwise, it may fall back to the $80000 range.
Tonight we will talk about the trend and layout of the market, teach indicators, deviate from techniques, follow the live broadcast room, take you through bull and bear markets, welcome to interact.
Disclaimer: The above content only represents the author's personal opinion and is intended to assist investors in understanding information related to the capital market. It does not constitute any investment advice and does not represent the position or viewpoint of AiCoin. The market is risky and investments should be made with caution.