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Last week, it was predicted that it would reach the 100000 mark on the 26th, but it only reached around 95000, which is generally weak. How to get off farm?
The first non farm payroll data for 2026 (December data) will be released tonight, as a key signal before the Federal Reserve's January interest rate meeting, directly influencing the logic of BTC's rise and fall!
The core impact is clear at a glance: strong data (employment/salary exceeding expectations) → rising expectations of high interest rates → strengthening of the US dollar, BTC under pressure at the 90000 mark; Weak data → fermentation of interest rate cut expectations → loose liquidity, expected to hit 94000 resistance in currency prices; If it meets expectations, the volatility will narrow and the focus will shift to the subsequent CPI.
Key Reminder: Salary growth is more critical than job creation, exceeding expectations can easily lead to contract liquidation and amplify short-term fluctuations. Currently, BTC is repeatedly struggling at the 90000 mark, serving as a touchstone for non farm breakthroughs. Institutional funds have already reduced their positions in advance to avoid risks.
In terms of operation, it is necessary to reduce leverage and set stop losses. Do not bet on medium and long-term trends based on single data.
BTC closed with a strong bullish candlestick at the weekly line, rising around 95000 and falling back to 89000. This is the rhythm of opening high and going low. The daily mid track became the last defense, and the 4-hour MACD and Bollinger Bands showed an overall downward trend. Breaking through the mid track is expected to once again reach the 100000 mark!
The ETH weekly closing line opens high and falls low, with a high voltage line of 3300-3400. The daily closing line is bearish but bullish, with a demand for a pullback in the next four hours. Currently, the daily double bottom neck line is supported, with a break from 3050 to around 2900, but it will rise again after the weekly closing line.
So, how do we proceed next? Teacher Zhao Yun, who has 10 years of practical trading experience in the cryptocurrency industry, will provide a detailed breakdown for everyone. Welcome to the live broadcast room to check in!
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Disclaimer: The above content only represents the author's personal opinion and is intended to assist investors in understanding information related to the capital market. It does not constitute any investment advice and does not represent the position or viewpoint of AiCoin. The market is risky and investments should be made with caution.