[Kevin Warsh's probability of being nominated as Federal Reserve Chairman by Trump rises to 40%] Polymarket data shows that the probability of Kevin Warsh being nominated as Federal Reserve Chairman by U.S. President Trump has risen to 40%, up from 13% three days ago; the probability of Kevin Hassett being nominated has dropped from 73% to 52%. On December 13, President Trump stated that he has narrowed down his choices for the new Federal Reserve Chairman to Kevin Warsh and Kevin Hassett.