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Last week, it was predicted that Japan would raise interest rates by 25 basis points, with the big cake reaching 85000 and the big cake reaching 2800. Currently, both are showing perfect results, and there will be a significant increase after Christmas. The specific reasons for this are explained in detail below
How will the financial market go after Christmas? Understand these 4 points and avoid pitfalls in layout;
Christmas has come to an end, and the "year-end market trend" of the financial market has officially begun!
The US stock market is highly likely to experience a Santa Claus market. Since 1950, the S&P 500 has risen an average of 1.3% in the seven trading days after Christmas, with a probability of up to 78%. The more severe the decline before the holiday, the stronger the rebound after the holiday. If the yield of long-term bonds stabilizes, technology growth stocks are more worth keeping an eye on.
Cryptocurrencies, on the other hand, are dominated by structural market trends, with 8 upward movements in the week after Christmas, but Bitcoin's performance in December was unstable. The halving year is a key window, with a growth rate of over 11% in the same period of 2016 and 2020. On chain fundraising and ETF fund inflows are the core drivers, but pre holiday trading volume is six times higher than post holiday trading volume, so liquidity risks should be cautious.
Commodities depend on geography and the face of the US dollar. If the Red Sea shipping crisis persists, crude oil may experience a jump in prices; When the US dollar weakens and US bond yields decline, the safe haven value of gold will be highlighted.
The bond market is closely focused on the policy expectation of the Federal Reserve. The long-term and short-term interest rate spreads are steep. The auction results of seven-year treasury bond bonds will dominate the short-term trend. The rising expectation of interest rate cut is the heart booster of the bond market.
The market pace switches quickly, and only by grasping the main line can we eat meat! How should we respond?
BTC's weekly closing line is bearish, falling back to around 85000. The double bottom has risen again and oscillated for almost half a month. The daily line is trending three times, and a four hour double bottom is about to form, breaking through the key level of around 90000 to 100000.
ETH fell back and hit a double bottom after being suppressed on the upper track for four hours. The daily line hit the bottom three times, and the weekly line fell twice, stabilizing around 2800. After Christmas, it rose around 3800-4000.
So, how do we proceed next? Teacher Zhao Yun, who has 9 years of practical trading experience in the cryptocurrency industry, will provide a detailed breakdown for everyone. Welcome to the live broadcast room to check in!
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Disclaimer: The above content only represents the author's personal opinion and is intended to assist investors in understanding information related to the capital market. It does not constitute any investment advice and does not represent the position or viewpoint of AiCoin. The market is risky and investments should be made with caution.
