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The price of the cryptocurrency market continues to be sluggish, with Bitcoin still down about 30% from its peak in 2025, making the market vulnerable to severe reversals during the US trading session. Meanwhile, gold prices have risen 69% this year, partly due to the chaotic macro environment, inflationary pressures, and the collapse of the cryptocurrency market.
1: In terms of regulation, the US SEC has accused the founder of a cryptocurrency mining company of a $9.56 billion fraud case, as well as the release of new stablecoin products and the launch of new services by exchanges. The full year review of 2025 shows that there has been a profound transformation in the regulatory environment for encryption, with governments and financial institutions strengthening their intervention.
2: Institutional dynamics: JPMorgan Chase is exploring providing encrypted trading services for institutional clients, which may boost market confidence.
Specific event: The market is paying attention to the $28.5 billion option contract that is about to expire on the Deribit platform, which may cause volatility.
The price of Bitcoin briefly rebounded during the Asian and European trading periods, but overall struggled at the $90000 mark.
The overall news is neutral and slightly negative: regulatory pressure and macro comparisons suppress sentiment, but institutional interest and option expiration may bring short-term opportunities.
3: BTC trend judgment: Short term volatile upward trend, but high risk. If maintaining above $84000, support long positions; If the option expires and triggers a sell-off, it may test lower support. In the mid-term (until the end of the year), if it breaks through $90000, it can be seen as $94000; Otherwise, it may fall back to the $80000 range.
4: ETH trend judgment: Short term rebound and upward trend, the bottoming process may be completed. If it remains above $2960, I am optimistic about reaching $3180-3220.
The medium-term risk lies in the overall weakness of crypto, and if BTC is dragged down, it may backtrack to $2850. Control the total position within 3-5%
Tonight we will talk about the trend and layout of the market, teach indicators, deviate from techniques, follow the live broadcast room, take you through bull and bear markets, welcome to interact.
Disclaimer: The above content only represents the author's personal opinion and is intended to assist investors in understanding information related to the capital market. It does not constitute any investment advice and does not represent the position or viewpoint of AiCoin. The market is risky and investments should be made with caution.