[Probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in January next year is 85.1%] According to CME 'FedWatch' data, the probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in January next year is 14.9%, while the probability of keeping interest rates unchanged is 85.1%. By March next year, the cumulative probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 45.2%, the probability of keeping rates unchanged is 48.3%, and the cumulative probability of a 50 basis point rate cut is 6.5%.