Live streaming in the language community: long short battle! ETH has been sideways for several days, who is the ultimate winner?
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Click on the link to enter Tencent Meeting: https://meeting.tencent.com/p/9850662513 Behind the oscillating candlestick is a silent battle between long and short sides at key points. The sideways trend of Ethereum is both an illusion of calmness and a precursor to a storm. Ethereum has recently entered a low volatility pattern, with prices fluctuating between $4000-4300. This narrow fluctuation has caused the market to become anxious, with trading volume significantly shrinking to 20.2K and almost no volatility. The upper and lower tracks of the Bollinger Bands almost overlap, the MACD indicator hesitates, and the RSI three lines are squeezed around the 50 neutral zone. The collective 'silence' of technical indicators suggests that a major turning point is brewing. The secret layout of the long and short camp Behind the seemingly calm market, both long and short sides have long been on high alert. The on chain data reveals the intensity of this capital battle. The bullish camp is firmly bullish with two pillars: institutional funds continue to pour in through ETFs, and ETF products from institutions such as BlackRock have seen large single day drawdowns of hundreds of millions of dollars. At the same time, over 30 million ETH have been locked in pledge contracts, accounting for a significant proportion of the circulating supply, significantly reducing market selling pressure. Short sellers hold three trump cards: prices at high levels for the year, net outflows from whale accounts, and high leverage in the derivatives market. Both sides have reached a delicate balance of power here, with either side waiting for the opportunity to deliver a fatal blow. 【 02 Key Technology Points and Variable Disc Signals 】 For traders, identifying key price points is crucial. At present, $4300 has become an important psychological barrier and a short-term suppression level. Once it effectively falls below the support of $3980, it may open up downward space. On the upside side, if we can break through the resistance of $4700 strongly, it may stimulate a new round of buying and push the price test to a higher level. Transaction volume is a key indicator for determining the authenticity of breakthroughs. Low energy false breakthroughs often conceal traps, while high-volume breakthroughs signify the confirmation of trends. 【 03 Core Factors Influencing Future Trends 】 The future direction of ETH price depends on the game of multiple forces. Positive factors include: the regulatory environment gradually becoming clearer, the US tends to view Ethereum as a "digital commodity", and the upgrade of Fusaka will further enhance network performance. The potential risks cannot be ignored: although L2 solutions are prosperous, there are still doubts about whether their value can effectively feedback to the main network. If the global macroeconomic environment deteriorates, it may suppress the demand for risk assets, while high-level profit taking may trigger a pullback. Citibank has set a year-end target price of $4300, which is expected to reach $6400 in a bull market scenario and may retrace to $2200 in a bear market scenario. This prediction range reflects the market's divergent views on the prospects of ETH. The market always emerges in despair, rises in hesitation, and ends in frenzy. The current sideways consolidation is like the calm before a storm, with a 50% volatility indicator suggesting that once the direction is clear, the market will be exceptionally volatile. Traders closely monitor the 4-hour level trend, waiting for the market to make its final direction choice. For investors, strict risk control and position management are the key to survival in this long short game. After the sideways trend ends, the market will eventually determine the short-term winner, but the real winners will always be those participants who follow market rules and strictly control risks. Operation suggestion: BTC 110650 long first target watch 112350 second target watch 113765; ETH 4115 long. First target is 4180. Second target is 4245. Join the language community communication group to obtain more services 1. Real time troubleshooting (online one-on-one question answering and sorting) 2. Professional technical analysis and theoretical learning 3. Construction and improvement of trading system- 4. Live streaming courses every day, contract termination, real-time order making, to help you successfully land! Every day, there are teachers in the group who provide precise positioning to answer questions and offer free guidance. Tencent Meeting Live: 985-066-2513 DingTalk Group Number: 120320009032 Disclaimer: The above content only represents the author's personal opinion and is intended to assist investors in understanding information related to the capital market. It does not constitute any investment advice and does not represent the position or viewpoint of AiCoin. The market is risky and investments should be made with caution.
