[CME Data Shows 97.3% Probability of Fed Rate Cut in October] According to data from the CME 'FedWatch' tool, there is a 97.3% probability that the Federal Reserve will cut rates by 25 basis points at its October meeting, while the probability of maintaining rates remains at just 2.7%. Looking ahead to the December meeting, the probability of keeping rates unchanged drops to 0.1%, the cumulative probability of a 25-basis-point rate cut is 6.4%, and the cumulative probability of a 50-basis-point rate cut rises significantly to 93.5%.
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More >Ant AT Club Live: ETH Weekend Trading Guide: Sell high and buy low within the range of 3000-3050, break levels and chase orders without hesitation
Click on the link to enter 24-hour live streaming: https://meeting.tencent.com/p/3972269438 Market analysis: ETH is currently oscillating around 3030, with a core range of 3025-3060. The key points are support at 3005 below and pressure at 3078 above. The market is bearish, but it is possible to sell high and buy low within the range. Key points and strategies: Support level: 3005 (bullish defense line, falling below bearish to 2980-2965) Pressure level: 3078 (short stop loss point, breaking through alert trend reversal) Operation checklist: Short position strategy: If the price is close to the range of 3060-3078, you can take a light short position and stop above 3080. Multi order strategy: If the price rebounds to the range of 3025-3005 and stabilizes, you can take a light position and try to buy long, with a stop loss below 3000. Breakthrough follow-up: effectively falling below 3005 can chase short, target 2980-2965; Break through 3078 and stop loss for short orders, observe if it turns long. Attention: Strictly implement stop loss, control positions, and avoid emotional trading. Low liquidity on weekends, it is recommended to take a light position or wait and see. Additional reminder: There is a TD bottom 9 signal at the 6-hour level, and the daily mid track support has returned. We need to be alert to technical rebound risks. To learn more about the strategy details, click on the link below to enter the meeting and analyze the panel with the teacher to obtain accurate positioning Ant [AT] Club! The services provided 1 📢 24-hour live classes+15 senior analysts 2 👨🏫 Free choice to switch between communities and teachers, accurate daily strategy of 5-20 orders, can be changed at any time if not satisfied 3 💸 Zero fees for the entire process, high commission of 70% 4. Trading Department | Solve your trading questions such as order placement and various trading issues 5 📈 Real time trading course | Keeping up with market pace, hands-on practical teaching 6 💡 Deep market analysis | Insight into trend changes, grasp key signals 7 🎯 Efficient trading strategy | System learning system to improve investment success rate 24-hour Tencent Meeting ID: 397-226-9438 DingTalk Group Number: 165765000499 Disclaimer: The above content only represents the author's personal opinion and is intended to assist investors in understanding information related to the capital market. It does not constitute any investment advice and does not represent the position or viewpoint of AiCoin. The market is risky and investments should be made with caution.
特朗普计划以关税收入取代个人所得税
[Trump Plans to Replace Personal Income Tax with Tariff Revenue] U.S. President Trump stated that in the future, it might no longer be necessary to pay personal income tax. It is reported that Trump plans to replace the existing personal income tax system with tariff revenue.
Glassnode:比特币企稳后恐慌情绪缓解,资金流向看涨期权
[Glassnode: Panic Eases After Bitcoin Stabilizes, Funds Flowing Into Bullish Options] Glassnode's weekly report indicates that the current market conditions are similar to the early stages of the 2022 bear market. ETF demand remains weak, with IBIT experiencing six consecutive weeks of outflows, totaling over $2.7 billion in redemptions—the longest negative flow record since its launch in January 2024. Derivatives data shows a decline in risk appetite, with open interest decreasing continuously from November to December, perpetual contract funding rates remaining largely neutral, and funding premiums retreating. The options market sentiment is cautious; earlier this week, when Bitcoin's price approached $80,000, put option buying dominated. However, after the price stabilized, panic eased, and funds began flowing into bullish options.
If Bitcoin returns to $100000, $9.1 billion of short positions will be liquidated
If the price of Bitcoin rebounds to $100000, it will result in the liquidation of approximately $9.1 billion in short positions. (Cointelegraph)
Strategy加入开放语义互换标准OSI
[Strategy Joins Open Semantic Interchange Standard OSI] Bitcoin treasury company Strategy announced its participation in the Open Semantic Interchange Standard (OSI). This standard, jointly launched by tech companies such as Salesforce and Snowflake, aims to address enterprise data interoperability issues through a unified semantic framework, achieving cross-platform data consistency. Strategy will leverage its AI-driven universal semantic layer, Strategy Mosaic, to promote the open ecosystem strategy.