Click on the link to enter the meeting: https://meeting.tencent.com/p/9309732027 Ethereum, as the undisputed king of smart contract platforms in the blockchain world, its future trend has always been the focus of attention in the cryptocurrency market. It is no longer just a digital currency, but also the cornerstone of a vast decentralized ecosystem. However, standing at a new crossroads, the future of Ethereum is not a smooth road, but rather a complex interweaving of technological breakthroughs, financial games, and macro environments. 1、 Current situation: Accumulating strength while wandering Currently, the price of Ethereum is in a critical consolidation range. On the one hand, its successful adherence to the key support zone of $3500- $3800 proves the market's recognition of its fundamental value; On the other hand, it faces multiple challenges in the resistance zone of $4000- $4200, indicating a lack of market confidence. This kind of hesitation is a manifestation of the temporary balance of power between long and short positions. Short term influencing factors: The role of Bitcoin as a barometer: As the leader of cryptocurrencies, the trend of BTC will still greatly affect the market sentiment of ETH. If Bitcoin can regain its upward momentum, Ethereum is likely to follow suit. The continuous inflow/outflow of ETF funds: The subsequent fund management scale of the US spot Ethereum ETF is a direct reflection of short-term confidence and needs to be closely monitored. Market sentiment and leverage liquidation: The funding rates and high leverage positions in the derivatives market may lead to significant short-term fluctuations. 2、 Future Catalyst: Four Flames Igniting the Bull Market Ethereum has a series of potential major benefits, and the implementation of any one of them could become a catalyst for price explosion. 1. The final listing and trading of ETFs: This is the biggest potential positive in the near future. Once the Ethereum spot ETF officially begins trading, it will provide a compliant and convenient entry channel for traditional capital, replicating or even surpassing the capital flood effect brought by the Bitcoin ETF in the past. 2. The sustained effect of the "Cancun upgrade": Although the Cancun upgrade has been completed, its promoting effect on the ecology is gradually being released. By significantly reducing the transaction costs of Layer 2, it greatly enhances the availability of the Ethereum ecosystem. In the future, cheaper and faster L2 applications (such as DeFi, GameFi, SocialFi) are expected to experience a surge in users and transactions, thereby feeding back the value of ETH. 3. Potential expectation of interest rate cuts: If the Federal Reserve enters a cycle of interest rate cuts, global liquidity will improve. As a high-risk technology and cryptocurrency asset, Ethereum will benefit from the overwhelming demand for high returns from capital, which may lead to large-scale capital inflows. 4. Ecological innovation and tokenization wave: Ethereum remains the center of blockchain innovation. Whether it is the tokenization of real-world assets or new decentralized social and gaming applications, it is most likely to explode first on Ethereum and its L2, consolidating its network effects. 3、 Risk and Challenge: Thorns on the Road Ahead However, bears also hold sufficient reasons, and these risk points cannot be ignored. 1. Intense competition in public chains: Solana, Avalanche, Sui and other new generation public chains have obvious advantages in speed and cost, and are crazily competing for market share and developer resources. The "modular" path of Ethereum is still difficult to compete with these "monolithic chains" in terms of experience in the short term. 2. Regulatory 'Sword of Damocles': The biggest uncertainty is whether the US SEC will recognize ETH as a security. Once recognized as a security, it will have a heavy impact on the exchanges, custody services, and overall ecosystem development in the United States. 3. Execution risk of technology roadmap: The upgrade path of Ethereum is long and complex. There is technical uncertainty regarding whether key upgrades such as "Verkle Trees" and "Danksharding" in the future can be completed on time and safely. 4. Macroeconomic headwinds: Continued high inflation and tight monetary policies may suppress market demand for risky assets, leading to overall pressure on the cryptocurrency market. 4、 Future trend prediction: three possible scenarios Based on the above analysis, we can outline three main future scenarios: Bull market scenario: Breaking through history and moving towards new highs Path: Spot ETFs bring unexpected capital inflows, coupled with the L2 ecological prosperity after the upgrade of Cancun, and the macroeconomic shift towards easing. In this scenario, ETH is expected to successfully break through the strong resistance of $4200 and challenge the historical high of $4800. Once firmly established, the next goal will be in the range of $6000 to $7000. Possibility: Medium to high, depending on the resonance of multiple favorable factors. Turbulent scenario: continue to consolidate in uncertainty** Path: ETF performance is average, and the macro environment has not shown significant improvement, but the Ethereum ecosystem is fundamentally stable. The price will continue to fluctuate within the large range of $3200- $4200, trading time for space, waiting for the emergence of the next decisive catalyst. Possibility: High. This is the most likely scenario to occur in the current market environment. Bear market scenario: Risk outbreak, deep pullback Path: A sudden regulatory downturn or a serious black swan event may occur, while the cryptocurrency market enters a cold winter. The key support level of $3200 has been effectively breached, which may lead to further price drops to the $2500- $2800 range. Possibility: Moderate to low, but once it occurs, the impact force will be strong. Disclaimer: The above content only represents the author's personal opinion and is intended to assist investors in understanding information related to the capital market. It does not constitute any investment advice and does not represent the position or viewpoint of AiCoin. The market is risky and investments should be made with caution.

[Nomura Group's Digital Asset Platform Launches Tokenized Fund on Sei Network] On October 22, Nomura Group's digital asset platform, Laser Digital, launched the tokenized fund Laser Carry Fund (LCF) and officially went live on the Sei Network. LCF utilizes a market-neutral strategy to capture interest rate differentials and staking yield opportunities, aiming to achieve stable returns. The fund is part of Laser Digital Funds SPC, registered with the Cayman Islands Monetary Authority, and is one of the first funds tokenized on the Sei Network through the KAIO multi-manager framework. Sei Network's efficient architecture will enhance institutional investors' capital operation efficiency.

[Forward Industries Establishes Cryptocurrency Advisory Committee to Advance SOL Strategy] Forward Industries announced the formation of a cryptocurrency advisory committee consisting of 25 experts, including notable figures such as Helium founder Amir Haleem and Backpack founder Armani Ferrante. The committee will provide guidance to the company on advancing its Solana-focused digital asset inventory strategy. Forward Industries currently holds 6,871,600 SOL tokens at an average cost of $232.08 per token, with a total investment of approximately $1.59 billion. Nearly all tokens have been staked through validators.

[Forward Industries Establishes 25-Member Crypto Advisory Committee, Focuses on Solana Treasury Strategy] Forward Industries (NASDAQ: FORD) announced the formation of a cryptocurrency advisory committee composed of 25 experts, including seasoned professionals from the Solana ecosystem, digital assets, and financial services sectors. Notable members of the committee include Helium founder and Nova Labs CEO Amir Haleem, Backpack founder and CEO Armani Ferrante, and Superstate CEO Robert Leshner. The committee will provide strategic guidance to the company in advancing its Solana-centric digital asset inventory strategy. Currently, Forward Industries holds 6,871,599.06 Solana tokens at an average cost of $232.08 per token, with a total investment of approximately $1.59 billion. Nearly all tokens are staked through validator infrastructure.

[Stolen Mining Pool Lubian Address Transfers Nearly 16,000 BTC] On October 22, the stolen wallet address of the Lubian mining pool conducted another large transfer, sending a total of 15,959 bitcoins to four addresses, with a total value of approximately $1.83 billion. The specific transfers include: - Transferring 4,999 BTC (approximately $539.76 million) to address bc1qs8 - Transferring 4,999 BTC (approximately $539.76 million) to address 3JX2dH - Transferring 3,424 BTC (approximately $369.7 million) to address 1cpnxU - Transferring 2,535 BTC (approximately $274.36 million) to address 1G9FZS.