[Analysis Suggests $82,000 as a Key Level for Bitcoin Bulls, Breach May Trigger Accelerated Decline]
On-chain data analyst Murphy pointed out that, based on Bitcoin's Unrealized Price Distribution (URPD), a total of 64,334 BTC were sold within the cost range of $88,000 to $89,000 over the past three days. The current market decline is primarily driven by the sell-off of recently acquired high-price positions, while long-term profit-taking positions and high-price trapped positions are not the main contributors to the sell-off. The analysis suggests that part of the decline stems from short-term funds hitting stop-loss levels, but a larger factor is the amplification of short-term volatility caused by derivatives market makers' trading mechanisms.
The options net premium heatmap indicates a significant amount of Put selling in the $82,000 to $87,000 range. When BTC approaches $82,000, market makers need to buy BTC to establish a bottom support structure. However, if BTC falls below $82,000, market makers may be forced to sell spot positions for hedging due to increased risk exposure, potentially leading to accelerated declines.