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BTC plummeted 4260 points from its high of 94560, ETH retraced key support at 3088! Is it panic selling or a gold pit? Tonight's live broadcast focuses on the core: precise support resistance+clear long and short signals+pre landing hedging strategy of the Federal Reserve, capturing opportunities for intraday certainty!
🌍 Deep analysis of news and fundamentals (affecting today's market core)
Federal Reserve policy expectations (maximum variable): The market generally expects a 25BP interest rate cut, but internal divisions have intensified. The options market shows that traders continue to buy downside protection rather than betting on gains. BTC is highly sensitive to policy news and is cautious of the "buy expectation sell fact" market trend;
Contradictory institutional trends: Grayscale BTC Trust increased its holdings by 5000, but the inflow of spot ETF funds was only $56.5 million (the first stabilization in weeks), and the active addresses on the chain were close to the cycle low. The market demand side has not yet truly exerted its strength, and the current stability is more due to selling pressure exhaustion rather than buying drive;
Unique positive support for ETH: Layer 2 ecosystem activity has increased, Arbitrum daily activity has exceeded 1.8 million, Gas fees remain low, coupled with expectations of supply tightening, psychological support for $3000 is extremely strong, and replenishment momentum is still present;
Market sentiment reversal signal: The Crypto Fear&Greek Index has rebounded from "extreme fear" (15 points) in November to a neutral range, but the sentiment index has declined after BTC prices stabilized. Analysts warn that the sustainability of the upward trend is questionable and caution should be exercised against another drop in sentiment;
Regulatory risk warning: The EU MiCA regulation has been implemented, and the disclosure requirements for stablecoin reserves have been upgraded. USDT liquidity has long been a concern, and in the short term, it is necessary to avoid small market value stablecoin related projects.
🎯 Today's precise trading strategy (divided by risk level, suitable for different investors)
✅ Steady type (position ≤ 30%, avoiding policy risks)
BTC: 88700-89500 USDT, build multiple positions in batches, stop loss 87500 USDT (falling below strong support), target 91400 USDT (reducing resistance by 50%), and do not chase higher before the Federal Reserve lands;
ETH: Place multiple orders at 3000-3050 USDT, with a stop loss of 2950 USDT and a first target of 3170 USDT. After breaking through, look towards 3380 USDT (take profit at trend resistance level);
⚡ Enterprising (position ≤ 50%, capturing short-term fluctuations)
BTC Short term: Sell high and buy low in the range of 90300-91400 USDT, break through 91400 USDT to chase long (stop loss 90800 USDT), and go short when it falls below 89500 USDT (stop loss 90000 USDT);
ETH Short term: Take a light position of 3088 USDT and try to go long. If you hold steady at 3170 USDT, immediately increase your position and target 3380 USDT with a stop loss of 3030 USDT (below the EMA15 moving average);
Disclaimer: The above content only represents the author's personal opinion and is intended to assist investors in understanding information related to the capital market. It does not constitute any investment advice and does not represent the position or viewpoint of AiCoin. The market is risky and investments should be made with caution.