[U.S. Secretary of State Rubio's Chances of Winning the 2028 Presidential Election Rise to 9%] On January 5, according to Polymarket data, due to Venezuelan President Maduro being arrested by the U.S. military, the probability of current U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio winning the 2028 presidential election has risen to 9%, up from 4% a week ago.
As of around 09:30 on January 6, 2026, the latest 5-minute bar for BTC contracts on the OKX platform showed active buying volume of $22.542 million and active selling volume of $11.8521 million. Since the morning opening, the overall green bar (active buying) has been significantly higher than the red bar (active selling), with buying leading significantly in multiple periods, especially after 09:00 when buying volume has repeatedly exploded, reflecting strong buyer aggression and continuous inflow of leveraged long funds. The confidence in buying in spot and contract markets is clearly superior. Mainstream interpretation: The current BTC price has exceeded $93000 and is running around $94000. After the opening of the New Year in the morning, bullish sentiment quickly heated up, and active buying volume dominated, indicating that market funds are inclined to chase after the rise, with no obvious selling pressure or bearish rebound signs. Combined with the recent significant increase in contract holdings, the short-term performance is strong, and the probability of further challenging $95000-100000 is increasing. The medium-term trend is relatively strong. It is recommended that investors maintain a bullish mindset and use small retracements to gradually increase their spot positions or light positions in multiple orders. They should pay attention to controlling their positions, monitoring the pressure of the $95000 integer level and the sustainability of trading volume, and avoiding heavy positions chasing after high prices when there is excessive volume stagnation. Register OKX now and receive a permanent 20% refund Company Registered Address https://jump.do/zh-Hans/xlink?checkProxy=true&proxyId=2 Risk statement The content of this article represents the author's personal views only and does not represent the position of this platform. The views, conclusions, and recommendations in the article are for investors' reference only and do not constitute any investment advice related to this platform. The market is risky, and investment needs to be cautious.
[A certain whale holds $225.8 million in short positions with an unrealized loss exceeding $6 million] On January 6, according to Lookonchain monitoring, a certain whale previously sold 255 Bitcoins and is currently holding short positions worth approximately $225.8 million in BTC, ETH, SOL, and SUI, with an unrealized loss exceeding $6 million. Their profit and loss statement has shifted from a $7.7 million profit to a $1.7 million loss.
[Bitwise Research Director: Bitcoin's Rise Not Primarily Driven by Venezuela Incident] On January 6, Bitwise Research Director Ryan Rasmussen stated that the approximately 5% rise in Bitcoin was not primarily driven by the Venezuela incident but rather by factors such as institutional adoption, shifts in crypto regulation, optimism around AI, and unchanged expectations of interest rate cuts. Institutional funds continue to flow into the crypto market, with platforms like Morgan Stanley increasing Bitcoin asset allocations; crypto-friendly regulatory directions are gradually being established; market concerns over an AI bubble have eased, leading to a flow of funds into risk assets; and Maduro's arrest has not altered short-term interest rate cut expectations. While the Venezuela incident has had some impact on Bitcoin, it is not the main driving factor.
On chain monitoring shows that the "1011 Flash Crash Open Short Insider" currently has three multi order floating profits exceeding 21.67 million US dollars, with a total position value increasing to 819 million US dollars, of which ETH positions account for 80%, with a floating profit of 15.39 million US dollars, SOL multi order value of 70.52 million US dollars, with a floating profit of 3.908 million US dollars; The current floating profit has covered a capital fee of 4.612 million US dollars. (Auntie Ai)
[The People's Bank of China Conducts 162 Billion Yuan 7-Day Reverse Repo Operation] The People's Bank of China conducted a 162 billion yuan 7-day reverse repo operation today, with a bidding amount of 162 billion yuan, a transaction amount of 162 billion yuan, and an operating interest rate of 1.40%, unchanged from the previous rate.