Seer Prophet Channel monitors that the probability of Polymarket's "zero 25 basis point rate cuts by the Federal Reserve in 2026" has risen to 58%, with a 9% increase in 24 hours. As of now, the total transaction amount of this predicted event is close to 220 million US dollars. According to the contract rules, every 25 basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve in 2026 will be counted towards the total, including emergency rate cuts, and the market will be open until 23:59 on December 31, 2026 (Eastern Time). After the release of US economic data, interest rate futures showed a slight increase in market expectations for the probability of interest rate hikes before the end of 2026.
