CME data shows a high probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged

HederaCon2026 gathers core figures such as Dr. Leemon Baird, Mance Harmon, and Eric Piscini to discuss tokenization AI、 The impact of stablecoins and global financial policy changes on infrastructure. （CoinDesk）

According to Xinhua News Agency, US President Trump stated in an interview with Fox News that if Iran attacks US ships near the Persian Gulf or the Strait of Hormuz, it will face the consequence of being "wiped off the surface of the earth". He said that the US military's combat readiness work is being carried out intensively, with sufficient material reserves and the ability to mobilize resources at any time. When it comes to the possibility of negotiations with Iran, Trump said that under the US blockade and pressure, Iran's attitude has softened and shown some flexibility.

According to CME's "Federal Reserve Watch", the probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged until June is 95.2%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 4.8%. The probability of keeping interest rates unchanged until July is 92.2%, the probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 7.7%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 50 basis points is 0.2%. The probability of keeping interest rates unchanged until September is 86.1%, the probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 13.2%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 50 basis points is 0.6%.

Paul Atkins stated that the SEC is collaborating with the CFTC to provide long missing regulatory clarity and support innovation for digital assets in the United States. （Cointelegraph）

Sen. Lummis stated that the financial future of the United States depends on passing the CLARITY Act as soon as possible, and mentioned that Bitcoin has been delayed for too long. （Bitcoin Archive）